2026 Team Outlook: Buffalo Bills
WR Khalil Shakir, BUF - Sleeper (undervalued)
In his third season with the Bills, Shakir emerged as their top receiving option (76/821/4 on 100 targets). Despite his success, he finished 37th in wide receiver scoring (182.50) in PPR formats. His top games (9/107 and 5/106/1) lacked explosiveness, but Shakir scored over 10.00 fantasy points in 14 of his 18 starts, giving him a consistency factor as a flex option in leagues with three wide slots in their starting lineup. Last year, Shakir scored fewer fantasy points (167.70), but he moved up one notch to WR36. Over his 18 games (including the postseason), he caught 91 passes for 876 yards and four touchdowns on 116 targets. His catch rate (78.4%) was a plus, but Buffalo gave him most of his chances close to the line of scrimmage (9.6 yards per catch). Shakir gained 40 yards or more on three plays in the regular season, with two of those being catches that ended with long scores via short receptions. His best two games (6/88/1 and 12/82) led to 20+ fantasy points in PPR formats. Shakir scored more than 10.00 fantasy points in eight other matchups. His opportunity increased when Dalton Kincaid was injured. Despite the appearance of growth, Buffalo only had him on the field for 57.3% of their plays. He had seven or more targets in half of his games. In 2025, Buffalo gave Shakir a four-year extension for $60.2 million in February, showing their confidence in him.
Fantasy Outlook: Despite his success over the past two seasons, Shakir draws a WR4/WR5 tag this year in early drafts in the high-stakes market. He brings a grinder/fill-in feel to a fantasy team due to low scoring and potential lower opportunity in 2026. Injuries helped his stats last year, but Shakir is only a 70/700/5 player if he continues to see WR2 targets in the Bills’ offense.
RB Ray Davis, BUF - Fantasy Handcuff
In his second season with the Bills, Davis slipped to third fiddle in their running back rotation, highlighted by his low snap count (215 plays – 16.9%) and step back in production (58/275/0 with 10 catches for 86 yards and two scores on 13 targets). Buffalo gave him the keys to the running back opportunity in Week 18, leading to an impact game (174 combined yards with a touchdown and two catches on 29 touches). Davis was active in the Bills’ offense in six games (18.20, 11.70, 13.70, 10.90, and 14.50 fantasy points) in 2024 while being a non-factor in 12
matchups (fewer than 4.00 fantasy points in each contest). He brought scoring value at the goal line (3 TDs), and Buffalo will give him some pass-catching chances (17/189/2). Fantasy Outlook: This season, Davis must jump ahead of Ty Johnson in the Bills’ running back rotation to help fantasy teams as a handcuff option to James Cook.
RB Ty Johnson, BUF - Deep-league Only
Buffalo used Johnson as a scheme player in some matchups in 2024, leading to some big plays and touchdowns. He beat the Lions with five catches for 114 yards in Week 5 while also surprising in two other matchups (46 combined yards with a touchdown and three catches and 70 combined yards with a score and two catches). In his other 17 games, Johnson had 283 yards with two touchdowns and 12 catches. Last year, the Bills gave him a slight bump in touches (74), leading to a career high in touchdowns (5), plus impressive success in his yards per rush (5.2) and yards per catch (15.8). He gained 20 yards or more on five of his 18 catches. Buffalo had him on the field for 29.6% of their games over 17 matchups. Over his final eight games, Johnson gained 227 combined yards with four scores and 18 catches. His best fantasy value also came in Week 18 (13/36/1 with two catches for 20 yards and one touchdown). Fantasy Outlook: Johnson's ability to catch the ball in space gives him an advantage on passing downs in chaser games. If James Cook had an injury, Buffalo would most likely feature him as a rotational player in their run game. He'll be found in the free agent pool in most fantasy leagues.
WR Keon Coleman, BUF - Deep-league Only
Coleman had the look of a much better player in his rookie season, but his results on the field suggest pumping the brakes on his 2025 outlook. He missed four midseason games with a wrist injury. His catch rate
(50.9) was extremely low, but the Bills used him as a deep threat (19.2 yards per catch, 12 catches of 20 yards or more, and four long bombs). He finished with one catch or fewer in nine of his 16 games, showcasing his downside risk. His two tease showings (4/125 and 5/70/1) came in back-to-back starts before his injury. Last year, the summer reports seemed positive about the direction of Coleman, and an expected WR2 role suggested a potential significant step forward in stats. Unfortunately, his only starting flicker came in Week 1 (8/112/1 on 11 targets). Coleman scored over 10.00 fantasy points only twice (4/23/1 and 3/46/1) over his next eight matchups (24/218/2 on 38 targets), followed by four missed games over the next nine weeks and emptiness when on the field (2/9/1, 2/16, 0/0, 2/49, 1/36, and 1/10/1). He finished the year with WR2 snaps (638 – only 50.1%) while gaining only 10.6 yards per catch. In the offseason, I thought the Bills were going to move on from Coleman, but he remains on the roster. Fantasy Outlook: The addition of DJ Moore pushed him down a notch, and incoming rookie Skyler Bell looks poised to get in Coleman’s way in 2026. I don’t see him getting drafted in 12-team formats this year.
WR Skyler Bell, BUF - Deep-league Only
After a rather pedestrian first three years at Wisconsin (69/915/6) over 26 games, Bell found his stride in his two seasons at Connecticut. He worked as a big-play wideout in 2024 (50/860/5 – 17.2 yards per catch), followed by an explosive year (101 catches for 1,278 yards and 13 touchdowns). He gained over 100 yards in seven matchups in 2025 (4/135/2, 11/107, 14/113/1, 10/125/1, 8/158/1, 8/149/3, and 8/125), with three other games with at least seven catches (7/92, 11/87/2, and 8/70). Speed at the wide receiver position continued to be the theme in 2026. Bell ran a 4.40 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine. His release needs work; Bell’s hands could be suspect in tight battles over the middle of the field. He has the tools to pile up catches close to the line of scrimmage, while also threatening them over the long field with or without the ball. Fantasy Outlook: Bell upgrades the Bills’ wide receiver speed, with a high enough college resume to compete for chain-moving catches. His new kid on the block feel should rank him ahead of Keon Coleman heading to training camp. Interesting player to follow this summer, with a deep flier price tag.
