2026 Team Outlook: Buffalo Bills

1. QB Josh Allen, BUF - Stud (low risk)

Over the past three seasons, Allen has been an edge player scoring touchdowns in the run game (111/524/15, 102/531/12, and 112/579/14). He comes off a career high in yards per pass attempt (8.0) despite having below-par production from his wide receivers (180/2,107/11 on 270 targets). A shorter passing window was a factor (40 sacks – 14 in 2024), but the real story was underperformance at wideout behind Khalil Shakir (72/719/4 on 95 targets). Keon Coleman (38/404/4 on 59 targets) was a bust, partly due to being featured closer to the line of scrimmage (10.4 YPC) than in his rookie Teams RATT YDS Run% ATT YDS Pass% Plays Yards Buffalo Bills 547 2714 0.525 495 3981 0.475 1042 6695

season (19.2 yards per catch). Josh Palmer (22/303/0 on 37 targets) was a poor investment, along with Elijah Moore (9/112/0 on 17 targets). The Bills relied more on their tight ends (97/1,210/12 on 121 targets) last season while being a run-first offense. Over the past six seasons, Allen has been a top-tier NFL and fantasy quarterback, highlighted by his ability to deliver combined touchdowns (45, 42, 42, 43, 40, and 39). He comes off a career low in passing yards (3,668) and pass attempts (460 – 646 in 2021) while seeing his passing touchdowns regress for five consecutive seasons (37, 36, 35, 29, 28, and 25). Allen finished last season with his highest completion rate (69.3%). Buffalo made a wide receiver splash by acquiring DJ Moore in early March, giving Allen a player who can work the short areas of the field and test a defense over the long field. Their front office decided to bring back Keon Coleman while drafting Skylar Ball in the fourth round. Fantasy Outlook: Allen was the top fantasy quarterback (414.30) again last season in four-point passing touchdowns leagues despite scoring fewer fantasy points than in 2024 (424.35) and 2023 (457.70). Buffalo wants to run the ball, and their star quarterback will continue to snipe touchdowns on the ground in the red zone. Dalton Kincaid showed growth last season when on the field and healthy, making him a key part of Allen’s passing success in 2026, along with a rebound year from DJ Moore. With 4,500 combined yards and 40 touchdowns, the Bills' signal caller will be the first quarterback drafted in most fantasy leagues this summer. Allen had three impact games (42.70, 47.85, and 40.35 fantasy points) last season at home while scoring at least 25.00 fantasy points in 10 of his 18 starts. He scored 27 of his 45 touchdowns (including the playoffs) at home, with only four interceptions.

9. RB James Cook, BUF - Stud (low risk)

The Bills gave Cook a workhorse opportunity last season (342 touches – 265 in 2024 and 281 in 2023). He responded by upping his yards per rush (5.2 – career high), highlighted by gaining 20 yards or more on 13 plays, with five reaching the 40-yard mark. Cook ended the year ranked sixth in fantasy points (305.20) in PPR formats, while coming into the season as about the 14th running back drafted. Over his previous two years, he finished 11th (235.50 – 2023) and 8th (266.70 – 2024) in fantasy scoring. Cook began last year with four consecutive games with touchdowns (5), with the latter three resulting in over 100 yards rushing (21/132/2, 19/108/1, and 22/117/1). After two dull games (15/49 and 17/87) with no catches, he posted a career-high in rushing yards (216) against the Panthers with two touchdowns. He gained over 100 combined yards in TGT TD 2025 426 2129 5.00 16 68 0.198 664 0.17 9.76 88 6 2024 372 1698 4.56 20 67 0.204 731 0.19 10.91 82 8 2023 388 1701 4.38 6 71 0.184 645 0.15 9.08 86 5 Buffalo Bills

seven of his final nine starts (only two snaps in Week 18), giving him a high consistency rating, but scored five of seven touchdowns over this span in two late road games (@NE and @CLE). Cook ended his season with 141 combined yards and two catches on 26 touches in his playoff loss to the Broncos. Fantasy Outlook: In the early draft season, Cook draws the fifth ranking at the running back position in the high-stakes market (PPR). He projects to be a back-end first-round fantasy selection in 2026. When at his best last season, Cook scored over 20.00 fantasy points in nine of his 18 full games, with two impact showings (33.60 and 31.10). Buffalo had him on the field for 57.1% of their snaps, up from 46.7% in 2024. There’s something to be said for rostering a lead running back for a high-scoring team. His catch rate (82.6%) and yards per catch (9.1) over the past three seasons suggest that the Bills should get him more involved in the passing game, but that may require Buffalo chasing in more games on the scoreboard. Cook is a special player with big play and scoring ability who is coming off three consecutive career seasons. With 1,500 combined yards, 12 touchdowns, and 30 catches, he could only be a backend top 12 running back, suggesting that Buffalo must continue to give him 300+ touches to earn his higher price point in 2026.

10. TE Dalton Kincaid, BUF - Solid/Safe Pick

Kincaid missed one of his possible 19 starts in his rookie season, leading to 81 catches for 777 yards and three touchdowns on 102 targets. He had a productive six-game stretch (8/75, 5/65/1, 10/81, 5/51/1, 6/46, and 5/38) midseason, followed by three dull showings (5/21, 0/0, and 1/7). Buffalo got him more involved over his final four starts (4/87, 7/84, 3/59/1, and 5/45). His catch rate (80.2%) graded well, despite having five drops. Kincaid gained only 9.2 yards per catch. Kincaid (44/448/2 on 75 targets) went down as a fantasy bust in 2024. He finished 30th in tight end scoring (100.80) in PPR formats while sitting out four games (knee and collarbone issues). Over the first 10 weeks, Kincaid posted three double-digit games (13.10, 11.10, and 13.10) in fantasy points while being unplayable after Week 10. In 2025, Josh Allen appeared to be in rhythm with Kincaid over the first five weeks (4/48/1, 4/37, 5/66/1, 1/28/1, and 6/108), despite only seeing Year TRC SPT TYD YD% YC TGT TD 2025 97 0.282 1210 0.30 12.47 121 12 2024 72 0.219 800 0.20 11.11 118 4 2023 97 0.252 885 0.21 9.12 129 5 Buffalo Bills

24 targets. Injuries knocked him out of five games while seeing only rotational snaps in eight other matchups. He flashed in Week 9 (6/101/1) while scoring in three other contests (4/41/1, 3/28/1, and 6/83/1). Kincaid never had more than six targets in a game. He caught 80.0% of his 60 targets over 14 weeks (including the playoffs). Buffalo only had him on the field for 28.9% of their plays (59.9% in his rookie season). Fantasy Outlook: Based on his injuries over the past two seasons, many fantasy game managers will fade Kincaid. He sits 12th in the early tight end rankings in the high-stakes market, making him an upside TE2 in some team structures. His stats last year, projected over a full season, paint a winning picture. When on the field, he should be the number two receiving option behind DJ Moore. When adding his increase in scoring (seven TDs) and bigger plays (14.6 yards per catch), Kincaid brings a sleeper feel to the tight end position this draft season. Possible 80 catches for 1,000 yards and 10 scores if on the field for 17 games and receiving 65% of the Bills’ snaps.

18. WR D.J. Moore, BUF - Solid/Safe Pick

After an explosive season in 2023 (96/1,385/9 on 136 targets), Moore faded down the wide receiver rankings over the past two years with Caleb Williams behind center for the Bears. He comes off his worst year in catches (50) and receiving yards (682) in his eighth season in the NFL. Moore scored seven times, but Chicago only looked his way 85 times. They did give him repeated chances in the run game (15/79/1). The Bears had him on the field for 1,104 plays (83.9%). Over the first 10 games in 2025, Moore averaged only 9.49 fantasy points per game in PPR formats, with his only winning day coming in Week 9 (4/89/1) on the road against the Bengals. He was fantasy- relevant in five (5/64/2, 4/69/2, 5/97/1, 6/59/1, and 5/60/1) of his final nine matchups, but poor showings (2/27, 1/-4, 1/7, and 1/11) made him a challenging player to manage and trust. Moore only had one game (Week 20 – eight targets) with over seven targets. Year WRC SPT WYD YD% YC TGT TD 2025 180 0.523 2107 0.53 11.71 270 11 2024 190 0.578 2400 0.61 12.63 295 18 2023 216 0.561 2776 0.64 12.85 329 19 Buffalo Bills

Fantasy Outlook: When at his best, Moore has the tools to move the chains or challenge a defense in the deep passing game. He’s gained over 1,000 yards in four seasons while developing into a better scoring player over the past four years (7, 9, 6, and 7 touchdowns). I expect him to be an excellent fit for the Bills’ offense. His early ADP (54) in the high-stakes market paints Moore as a borderline WR2/WR3 in PPR formats. I see 80+ catches with over 1,000 receiving yards and about seven scores, which should make him a slight fantasy value based on his early price point.

41. TE Dawson Knox, BUF - Deep-league Only

In 2023, Knox barely had a role over his first seven games (15/102/1 over 28 targets), followed by five missed weeks due to a wrist injury that required surgery. Josh Allen only looked his way 11 times over his final seven games (9/97/2). Even with Dalton Kincaid missing some time and underperforming expectations in 2024, Knox had a career low in targets (33). He finished with 22 catches for 311 yards and one score while working more downfield (14.1 yards per catch – seven catches of 20 yards or more). Knox finished last season with a three-year high in catches (36), receiving yards (417), touchdowns (4), and targets (49), thanks to another banged-up season by Dalton Kincaid. He only had two games

(6/93 and 5/30) with more than three catches while playing his best in Week 15 (3/37/2). Fantasy Outlook: Knox remains only a handcuff to Dalton Kincaid with a chance to average between two and three targets per game. He’ll get some scores in close on play-action passes, with an opportunity to surprise in a game or two. Knox should be found in the free-agent pool in all 12-team leagues.