Baltimore Ravens
| By Jody Smith, Wednesday, July 16, 2025 |
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The Ravens won the formidable AFC North for the second consecutive season but fell to the Bills in a heartbreaking AFC Divisional Playoff loss. For GM Eric DeCosta and head coach John Harbaugh, reinforcing the offensive line and secondary were the top priorities for a roster that sits atop the NFL with a preseason over/under of 11.5 wins. QB Lamar Jackson had the finest season of his career en route to an overall QB1 finish. Jackson threw for a career-best 4.172 yards and 41 touchdowns while leading the position with 915 rushing yards. Jackson has zero bust games and accounted for multiple scores in 15 of his final 17 games, including the postseason. Securing Jackson on draft day will be expensive, but he's one of the safest bets in fantasy for managers looking to secure an elite quarterback early. Derrick Henry (31) is old for a running back, but he is a unique physical freak who showed no signs of slowing down. He led the AFC with 1,921 rushing yards and scored a career-high 18 touchdowns. In his age-30 season, Henry forced the most missed tackles (89) and most breakaway runs (30) of his career. There are no metrics that indicate Henry is past his prime. He's the perfect fit in Todd Monken's offense and in fantasy lineups. Ancillary back Justice Hill averaged a solid 8.5 fantasy points as Baltimore's change-of-pace runner. Hill never received more than five carries in a regular-season game but corralled 42-of-51 targets. He's a solid handcuff target for Henry managers and offers some weekly flex appeal in deeper PPR leagues. The Ravens add WR DeAndre Hopkins in free agency. Nuk saw steep drop-offs in yards after catch, yards per route run, and ADOT- all signs of a declining player. However, he still has tremendous hands and compiled a 54.2% contested catch rate. He has the potential to be a good possession option for Jackson, with plus red-zone potential. Zay Flowers finished one spot out of WR2 range with a solid 74/1,059/4 sophomore campaign. Flowers was most effective between the numbers, which bodes well for his potential to continue to ascend into the top-20 wideout range with Hopkins and Rashod Bateman commanding attention. Bateman broke out with a career-high nine scores, but is highly unlikely to approach last year's gaudy stats as the fourth option. Baltimore has a pair of standout tight ends. Mark Andrews led all tight ends with 11 touchdowns and finished as the overall TE6 after a slow start. Isaiah Likely finished 16th with a 42/477/6 showing that included five weekly TE1 finishes. Andrews is on the TE1/2 radar, and Likely is a high-upside mid-to-late round depth target. Fantasy managers should also take note of sixth-round PK Tyler Loop from Arizona, who is the first kicker drafted in franchise history and is expected to take over for Justin Tucker. Fantasy Grade: B+ QB Lamar Jackson - Stud (low risk)In his third season in Todd Monken's system, Lamar Jackson posted QB1 overall numbers. He threw for a career-high 4,172 yards and 41 touchdowns against only four interceptions. Jackson has jelled in this offense, posting a +11.6 EPA when under pressure and leading the NFL in passing EPA versus zone coverage and against 2-high looks. In addition to becoming an elite passer, Jackson also ran for a position-leading 915 yards. Jackson is a cheat code that has improved each season in Monken's offense. He'll have a hard time topping last year's numbers, but Jackson is locked in top-3 signal caller. ADVICE: Dual-threat weapon primed for another elite run.
RB Derrick Henry - Stud (low risk)Have you seen Derrick Henry's workout regimen? If anyone can defeat Father Time, it's Henry. At 30, when most mortal running backs are retired, Henry set a personal-best with 2,191 scrimmage yards and 5.9 yards per carry. He was second in the league in carries (325), rushing (1,921), and touchdowns (18). Henry was PFF's top-graded running back and forced a league-high 89 missed tackles. There are no signs that Henry is slowing down in an offense that calls over 32 runs per game, the 2nd-most in the NFL. Finally, Henry won't catch many passes, which puts him a notch below the elite, three-down studs. ADVICE: The best pure runner in the league, in the perfect offense.
RB Justice Hill - Fantasy HandcuffDerrick Henry stayed healthy, but Hill still received enough touches to finish as a top 40 running back in PPR leagues. That production's main driver was putting up career-best numbers (42/j383/3) as an outlet receiver. Hill did not garner more than five carries in any regular-season tilt. He's not a traditional handcuff because the Ravens wouldn't use Hill or any other back in the same way they utilize Henry. However, Hill has some RB5/6 value as the Ravens' main pass-catching weapon. ADVICE: Don't count on another top-40 finish, but Hill has some value as a receiver. Injury Status: Injured Reserve
WR Zay Flowers - Solid/Safe PickZay Flowers's sophomore numbers were strikingly similar to his rookie season. He ranked 30th in fantasy points during his rookie season and 25th in 2024. Last year, he was top-20 in targets (116), target share (25.7 percent), and yards (1,059). However, Flowers only had four WR1/2 weeks, with two dud outings (not including Week 18). He has settled in as a dependable weekly source of targets and catches, who will occasionally pop a huge play (10th in YAC and 11th in deep targets). That makes him a high-upside WR3/flex option in the NFL's top-ranked offense. ADVICE: Steady WR3 who offers weekly WR1 upside.
WR Rashod Bateman - Bust (overvalued)After averaging 78.5 fantasy points per season in three years, Rashod Bateman exploded to finish with 174.6 points in 2024. The main reason- he jumped up to nine touchdowns after scoring four total in three years. Not only was last season an outlier, it's also not sustainable. Bateman only averaged 3.9 targets per game, scoring on six of his nine red-zone targets. DeAndre Hopkins will also take some of those looks away. Bateman is highly likely to be overdrafted based on his WR30 finish last season. Expect negative regression. ADVICE: Nearly 42 percent of Bateman's fantasy production came via touchdowns last season. That's unsustainable. He's a candidate to be overdrafted in 2025.
WR DeAndre Hopkins - Over the Hill (decreased production)ADVICE: Name recognition will likely mean that Hopkins is drafted rounds higher than he should be at this stage. Even playing for the Chiefs, Hopkins's career-worst 10.9 yards per catch indicates he's no longer the downfield threat he once was. His ADOT, YAC, and yared per route run have also been trending down since 2021. Hopkins (33) had an excellent run, but he's barely fantasy-relevant entering his 13th season. TE Mark Andrews - Solid/Safe PickMark Andrews looked like a monumental bust after Baltimore's first four games. Perhaps he was still affected by the hip-drop tackle that ended his 2023 campaign. Regardless, starting in Week 5, Andrews took his customary place, averaging 13.6 fantasy points per game in Baltimore's final 11 contests. That figure would have ranked 4th for the full season. Andrews also led the position with an ADOT of 10.5 and a career-high 11 touchdowns. He still flashed that red-zone chemistry with Lamar Jackson, which keeps Andrews in the TE1 conversation. ADVICE: Has been a top-7 tight end in fantasy points per game for six straight seasons. Draft Andrews as a TE1 confidently.
TE Isaiah Likely - Quality BackupLikely's 9/111/1 outing in the season-opener caused a waiver wire fury. But after that game, Likely became very hit-or-miss, posting double-digit points in three games and fewer than five points in seven weeks. Overall, Likely ranked 8th in fantasy points per target (2.13) and scored six touchdowns despite ranking just 29th in snap share. Baltimore used two tight end sets 5th-most in the league, so we expect Likely to remain involved in the slot (41 percent slot snaps ranked 12th). But he remains a boom-or-bust fantasy option as long as Mark Andrews is on the roster. ADVICE: TE2 with erratic week-to-week value.
PK Tyler Loop - Sleeper (undervalued)The Ravens parted ways with longtime starter Justin Tucker and drafted Tyler Loop with the 186th pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. Loop converted over 83% of his field goals at Kansas State, including a school-record 62-yarder. Tucker exceeded 130 kicking points in seven of his last nine seasons, so this is an ideal landing spot for Loop. He'll be in a good position to post top-5 fantasy numbers and is completely unknown to many drafters. |


