2026 Team Outlook: San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco has been one of the NFC's most consistent postseason fixtures, making five playoff appearances in the last seven years and reaching the Super Bowl twice — losing both times. Kyle Shanahan has compiled an 87-67 record across nine seasons as head coach, adding a 9-5 mark in the playoffs. Four of their five postseason runs have ended with two wins. Before arriving in San Francisco, Shanahan spent nine years as an offensive coordinator with Houston, Washington, Cleveland, and Atlanta from 2008 to 2016. Last season, the 49ers outscored opponents by 66 points, a sharp turnaround from a -47 differential in 2024, but still well below their peaks of +173 in 2022 and +193 in 2023. Klay Kubiak steps in to run San Francisco's offense in 2025 after working within Shanahan's system since 2021, most recently as the team's offensive passing game specialist (2024). Their unit ranked eighth in total yards (6,135) and eighth in points scored (437) a year ago. On the other side of the ball, Raheem Morris takes over as defensive coordinator after being let go as Atlanta's head coach. His six-year head coaching tenure with Tampa Bay and the Falcons produced a 37-56 record with no playoff trips, but he brings a valuable championship pedigree. Morris was on the staff for two Super Bowl-winning teams in Tampa Bay and Los Angeles. With his NFL coaching career dating back to 2002, Morris carries roughly two decades of experience into the role. The 49ers' defense ranked 13th in points allowed (371) and 17th in yards surrendered (5,943) in 2025. The 49ers ran the ball 45.6% of the time last season, but they gained only 3.8 yards per carry. They finished 24th in rushing yards (1,817) Teams RATT YDS Run% ATT YDS Pass% Plays Yards 481 1817 0.456 574 4318 0.544 1055 6135 despite averaging 28.3 runs per game. San Francisco scored 15 times on the ground with only four runs of 20 yards or more. San Fran had the sixth-best passing offense (4,318 yards), leading to 33 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. They completed 69.3% of their passes while gaining 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Their offensive line gave up 27 sacks. Only four of their completions gained 40 yards or more. The 49ers’ defense climbed to 11th in rushing yards allowed (1,833). They gave up 13 touchdowns and 10 runs of 20 yards or more. Ball carriers gained 4.3 yards per rush on 24.9 runs per game. San Francisco fell to 23rd in passing yards allowed (4,110), with 29 touchdowns and six interceptions. Their defense had 50 sacks. Quarterbacks gained 7.0 yards per pass attempt, with a 68.2% completion rate.Team Overview
Offensive Outlook
Defensive Outlook
WR Ricky Pearsall, SF - Not Draft Worthy
Across his final three college seasons split between Arizona State and Florida, Pearsall hauled in 146 of 217 targets for 2,206 yards and 13 touchdowns, chipping in as a ball carrier as well (17/219). His 15.1 yards per reception is an eye-catching number for a player most scouts projected as a slot receiver at the next level. His five best outings were spread across 2022 and 2023 (5/103/1, 5/148/1, 6/123/1, 10/166/1, and 7/103). San Francisco valued him enough to spend the 31st overall pick on him in the 2024 draft. At the combine, Pearsall ran a 4.41 and put up 17 reps on the bench, a combination of speed and strength that fits what the 49ers want from their receivers. His route running translates well to the pro game, and his hands grade as assets. Pearsall’s area to watch is his release against physical corners at the line — if he can win that battle more consistently, his ability to carve up zone coverage could make him a real problem for defenses. Pearsall’s rookie season never got off the ground. A shoulder injury wiped out his first six games, and he never fully seized a prominent role after returning, finishing with just 17 catches for 190 yards and one touchdown on 28 targets. Pearsall closed the year on an encouraging note, delivering back-to-back performances worth watching (8/147/1 and 6/69/1 on 18 combined targets) while earning WR3 and WR1 snap counts in those two matchups. After three games in 2025, Pearsall gave the appearance of a draft-day steal (4/108, 4/56, and 8/117). Unfortunately, he missed nine of the 49ers’ final 16 matchups, leading to only two more games (6/96 and
5/85) of value. Pearsall failed to score all season while batting with a lingering right knee injury (PCL), followed by a late ankle issue. Fantasy Outlook: With no surgery to repair his knee issue, Pearsall brings along further injury risk in 2026. The high-stakes market in the NFFC rates him WR4 in late June, with a late seventh-round ADP (82). His possession profile and big-play ability suggest value, but he can’t score fantasy points from the sidelines.
Injury Status: Injured ReserveRB Christian McCaffrey, SF - Stud (low risk)
McCaffrey topped all running backs in PPR scoring in both 2018 (387.0) and 2019 (471.2). His 2019 campaign was historic (403 touches, 1,387 rushing yards, and 1,005 receiving yards), making him just the third player in NFL history to clear 1,000 yards in both categories in the same season. He surpassed 100 rushing yards in six of his first nine games before Carolina leaned on him as a receiver down the stretch (68/609/1), including three multi-catch explosions (11/121, 11/82, and 15/119). He reached double digits in receptions five times that year. Injuries wiped out 13 weeks of his 2020 season (ankle, thigh, and shoulder issues each taking their turn). McCaffrey averaged 28.7 touches and 30.13 fantasy points per game when healthy. He managed to stay on the field for seven starts in 2021, producing 785 combined yards, two touchdowns, and 37 catches, but hamstring and ankle problems limited his workload (19.4 touches per game) and dragged his scoring down to 18.21 FPPG. After losing 24 games across those two injury-plagued years, McCaffrey played a full season in 2022 and delivered 1,880 combined yards, 13 touchdowns, and 85 catches. Across his 13 full games, he averaged 19.5 touches and 22.34 FPPG, with his two biggest fantasy outputs arriving in Week 8 (40.60) and Week 17 (31.30). His first complete season with the 49ers in 2023 was the second-best of his career (2,023 combined yards, 21 touchdowns, 67 catches, and 339 touches). McCaffrey maintained a floor of 18 touches in 15 of 16 starts (21.2 per game), rushed for over 100 yards eight times, and topped 100 combined yards in four additional outings. He finished 102.80 fantasy points ahead of the second-best running back in PPR
formats, trailing only CeeDee Lamb (405.20) in overall scoring. Both of his signature games came against Arizona — Week 4 (29/106/3 rushing, 7/71/1 receiving) and Week 15 (18/115/1 rushing, 5/72/2 receiving). The fantasy community got played in 2024. McCaffrey was a consensus top-five pick heading into the summer before a calf issue quietly became an Achilles problem, landing him on injured reserve to start the year. He returned after eight games but never found his footing (348 combined yards, no touchdowns, and 15 catches across four appearances on 65 touches) before a knee injury shut him down for good. For fantasy drafters fading McCaffrey in 2025 due to getting beaten by him the previous year, they missed a great running back season. He gained 2,126 combined yards with 17 touchdowns and 102 catches on 413 touches, resulting in 416.60 PPR fantasy points. Over his first seven starts, the 49ers’ star back produced elite PPR fantasy points in each matchup (23.20, 22.70, 24.00, 26.10, 27.90, 24.10, and 39.10). He had a floor of 17.00 fantasy points in eight other matchups, with six resulting in impact value (34.30, 35.10, 27.20, 32.60, 28.10, and 29.40). Fantasy Outlook: Despite his success last year, McCaffrey has been a losing fantasy investment five times over the past seven seasons due to injuries. Running backs with high-volume opportunities tend to have a step back in production the following year. This draft season, McCaffrey is the third-ranked running back in the National Fantasy Football Championship (ADP of 7). Tough player to fade, so I would get a few shares for the game managers that draft multiple fantasy teams. When on the field, he checks the three boxes (scoring, consistency, and impact value) that are required to win championships. With 350 touches, 1,800 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 80 catches should be a reasonable outcome.
QB Brock Purdy, SF - Quality Backup
Purdy was a four-year starter at Iowa, throwing for 12,170 yards with 81 touchdowns and 33 interceptions across 48 games. He also contributed on the ground with 365 carries for 1,177 yards and 19 scores. San Francisco took a chance on him in the seventh round in 2022. Quarterback injuries thrust him into the starting role in Week 13 of his rookie season, and Purdy made the most of it — going 8-0, with 1,854 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and just three interceptions. He completed 66.8% of his passes and averaged an impressive 8.4 yards per attempt. His playoff debut was his signature moment, throwing for 348 yards and four scores. The 49ers averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game with him under center. His storybook run ended in the postseason when he suffered an ACL injury to his right elbow, requiring surgery in February. Purdy was back under center for Week 1 in 2023 and went 14-5 across 19 starts, including a Super Bowl appearance. Over 16 regular-season starts, he averaged 27.8 attempts per game and piled up 4,424 combined yards with 33 touchdowns, finishing seventh in quarterback scoring (351.50) in four-point passing touchdown formats before sitting out Week 18 for rest. His sharpest outings came in Week 11 (347/3) and Week 13 (323/4), and Purdy threw four touchdowns in two other games (252/4 and 242/4). He averaged 9.6 yards per attempt and
generated 72 completions of at least 20 yards, with 14 reaching the 40- yard mark. Injuries to Christian McCaffrey and Brandon Aiyuk, combined with a down year from Deebo Samuel, created headwinds in 2024. His completion rate dipped to 65.9%, but Purdy kept finding chunk plays (8.5 yards per attempt, 12 completions of 40-plus yards). He also set new career bests on the ground (65/323/5), adding a dimension to his fantasy profile that hadn't been there before. A right shoulder injury cost him Week 12, and an elbow issue kept him out of the finale. His pass volume climbed 8.3% to 30.3 attempts per game, while still ranking below the league average. Purdy was on pace for 4,379 passing yards and 23 touchdowns, the latter falling short of what his talent suggested. Five 300-yard games dotted the schedule (319/1, 353/2, 325/2, 313/2, and 377/3), and he topped 20 fantasy points in 60% of his starts, with a season-best 36.05 arriving in Week 17. One week into 2025 (294 combined yards with two touchdowns), Purdy suffered toe and shoulder injuries, leading to eight missed games over the following nine weeks. Over his final nine games, he averaged 23.02 fantasy points per game in four-point passing touchdown formats. His best value came from Week 15 to Week 17 (339/3, 306/5, and 331/5), when league and overall championships were on the line. His completion rate (69.4%) graded well for the year due to Christian McCaffrey's (102/924/7 on 128 targets) command chain moving catches. No other receiver caught more than 57 passes. Fantasy Outlook: The 49ers revamped their wide receiving corps in the offseason, but their star tight end is coming off an Achilles injury. Purdy ranks 12th at quarterback in late June in the high-stakes fantasy market. The 49ers averaged 33.7 passes per game last year. With a healthy year, Purdy has the talent and opportunity to gain 4,500 combined yards
with 30+ touchdowns, making him a value in 2026. Healthy season by Christian McCaffrey is a must.
TE George Kittle, SF - Sleeper (undervalued)
Kittle opened 2022 on the sideline with a groin injury that cost him two games. Over his first 11 starts, he was solid but unspectacular (42 catches for 500 yards and four touchdowns on 59 targets). The switch to Brock Purdy at quarterback unlocked him down the stretch, with four strong closing weeks (4/93/2, 6/120/2, 4/23/1, and 4/29/2). Three other games stood out earlier in the year — Week 6 (8/83), Week 7 (6/98/1), and Week 11 (4/84/2). San Francisco's offensive approach in 2023 turned Kittle into a boom- or-bust proposition. His seven productive outings were special (7/90, 3/67/3, 9/149, 3/116/1, 8/89/1, 7/126, and 4/81/1), but he failed to crack 8.00 fantasy points in nine starts, including the postseason, and drew four targets or fewer in 11 of his 19 appearances. His inconsistency was real, yet Kittle still managed to finish fifth among tight ends in PPR scoring (203.20). Despite missing two more games (this time with foot and hamstring problems), Kittle cleared 1,000 receiving yards for the fourth time in his career in 2024. His touchdown production was front-loaded, scoring all eight of his touchdowns between Week 2 and Week 12 across eight games, with five performances topping 20.00 fantasy points over that span (7/76/1, 8/64/1, 5/58/2, 6/128/1, and 6/82/1). He then closed the year on a tear, surpassing 100 receiving yards in three of his final five games (6/151, 8/106, and 8/112). Kittle ranked seventh at the tight end position in targets but climbed to third in fantasy scoring (236.60). Over the first seven games in 2025, Kittle missed five starts with a hamstring injury, catching only four passes for 25 yards and one touchdown in his two matchups. His production aligned with his career path across his next eight games (48/574/6 on 56 targets – 17.64 PPR fantasy points). Unfortunately, a late-season ankle issue turned into an Achilles injury that required surgery in January.
He's missed 22 weeks over the last six years. Over his past 109 games, Kittle averaged 5.1 catches for 69 yards and 0.46 touchdowns per game (14.76 FPPG). Fantasy Outlook: The 49ers expected Kittle to be ready for Week 1. He ranks 10th at tight end in late June, with 10th-round ADP in the National Fantasy Football Championship. His resume of success is long, but playing a full year hasn’t happened since 2018. With each week that passes this summer with positive news about Kittle’s return date, he will move up draft boards. I’ll set his bar at 60 catches for 700 yards and seven touchdowns, which prices in some missed games.
PK Eddy Pineiro, SF - Bye Week Fill-in
Pineiro comes off his best year in the NFL. He made 28 of his 29 field attempts (96.6%), with his only miss coming from 50 yards or more (6- for-7). Over the past four seasons, Pineiro sent 90.8% of his 119 field goal tries through the uprights. On the downside, his extra point success rate (91.2%) was elite. He’s made 17 of his 21 chances from long range. Fantasy Outlook: San Francisco scored 49 touchdowns last year while creating 36 field goal chances. The 49ers will score points, giving their kicker matchup value in 2026. Pineiro ranks sixth at kicker in the early draft season.
WR Mike Evans, SF - Solid/Safe Pick
With Tom Brady under center, Tampa funneled 350 targets Evans's way over three seasons. He set new personal bests in touchdown catches in back-to-back years (13 in 2020 and 14 in 2021), before falling back to six scores in 2022. Interestingly, his target rate was actually higher across 62 games from 2015 to 2018 (9.6 per week) than it was over his first 47 starts with the Buccaneers (7.4 per week). His 2022 season was a study in feast or famine: two explosive outings (8/103/2 and 10/207/3) bookended an 11-week scoring drought, with only two other games worth mentioning (5/71/1 in Week 1 and 6/123 in Week 8). Year WRC SPT WYD YD% YC TGT TD 2025 160 0.402 2151 0.50 13.44 251 10 2024 199 0.570 2608 0.59 13.11 312 12 2023 177 0.527 2785 0.61 15.73 265 18
The arrival of Baker Mayfield brought a steadier version of Evans in 2023. He held a fantasy floor of at least 10.00 points in 13 of 17 regular- season games, with his hottest stretch running from Week 10 through Week 13 (6/143/1, 5/43/1, 6/70/2, and 7/162/1). Evans closed the year with his second-highest receiving yard total (1,255) and rediscovered his scoring touch with 13 touchdowns. His 136 targets were his most since 2018, and Mayfield trusted him down the field — Evans averaged 15.9 yards per catch in response. Three more standout games added to the resume (Week 2 – 6/171/1, Week 16 – 7/86/2, and Week 20 – 8/147/1), and he finished seventh among wide receivers in PPR scoring (282.50). 2024 opened with Evans producing in spurts (26 catches on 45 targets for 335 yards and six touchdowns over the first seven games), with three bright spots (5/61/2, 8/94/1, and 5/62/2) mixed in. A hamstring injury then pulled him off the field for three games at the midpoint of the year. Mayfield carried him to the 1,000-yard mark over the final seven weeks (48/669/5 on 65 targets), with Evans delivering four games of eight-plus catches (8/118/1, 9/159/2, 8/97/2, and 9/89) and a strong playoff showing (7/92/1). He wrapped up the season 14th in PPR wide receiver scoring at 240.40 points. Last year, Evans suited up for only eight games (30/368/3 on 62 targets) due to a hamstring injury and a broken collarbone. As a result, his 11- year streak with over 1,000 yards receiving came to an end. He played the best from Week 16 to Week 18 (6/132, 5/31/1, and 3/31/1) while averaging 9.3 targets over this span. Evans moved to 21st all-time in receiving yards (13,052) and 10th in receiving touchdowns (108). Fantasy Outlook: The 49ers signed Evans to a three-year contract in March with only $16.3 million in guaranteed money. His style of play should fit well with Brock Purdy, leading to double-digit touchdowns and
another 1,000+ receiving yards. At age 33, he may only have one more top-tier season in him if Evans can stay healthy. He ranks 25th at wide receiver in the National Fantasy Football Championship in late June with a fourth-round ADP.
