2026 Team Outlook: Jacksonville Jaguars
The biggest winner of the 2025 head coaching carousel was Jacksonville. Liam Coen transformed a 4-13 Jaguars team into a 13-4 playoff contender in a single season, overseeing an offense that scored 154 more points while the defense surrendered 99 fewer, a net swing of 253 points. Coen's path to Jacksonville ran through Tampa Bay, where his offensive success in 2024 opened the door. He broke into the NFL with the Rams in 2018 as an assistant wide receivers coach, worked his way up to offensive coordinator by 2022, made a one-year detour back to Kentucky in the same role, and then landed with the Buccaneers to run their offense before getting his first head coaching shot. Coen brought in Grant Udinski as the Jaguars' offensive coordinator in 2025, who earned the promotion after three years in Minnesota's system. Udinski served as the Vikings' assistant offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach in 2024, with his pro coaching roots tracing back to Carolina in 2020. At 30 years old, Udinski is the second- youngest offensive coordinator in the league, behind only Declan Doyle. The results speak for themselves: Jacksonville's offense ranked 4th in scoring (474 points, up from 320 in 2024 – 26th) and 11th in total yards (5,981). Anthony Campanile took over as defensive coordinator in 2025, giving the Jaguars a dynamic combination of developing coaches. He spent four seasons coaching linebackers in Miami before Green Bay added run coordinator duties to his plate in 2024. In his first year running Jacksonville's defense, he delivered: the Jaguars finished 8th in points allowed (336) and 10th in total yards surrendered (5,382). The Jaguars ranked 20th in rushing yards (1,956) last season while averaging only 28.8 carries per game. They scored 22 touchdowns, with rushers gaining 4.0 yards per run play. Jacksonville passes for 4,026 yards (11th), with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Their offensive line gave up only 41 sacks. They threw the ball 53.5%, compared to 56.9% in 2024. Jacksonville's defense moved from 26th in rushing yards allowed (2,254) to first last season (1,455). Offenses ran the ball only 369 times (21.7 per game) while gaining 3.9 yards per carry. The Jaguars allowed 13 scores on the ground with only five rushes of 20 yards or more. No ball carrier gained 40 yards on a carry. The Jaguars improved to 19th in passing yards allowed (3,933). Quarterbacks tossed 25 touchdowns and 22 interceptions while being sacked 32 times. They gained only 6.2 yards per pass attempt, third lowest outcome in the league. In the fantasy market, Jacksonville developed into a top-five defense in 2025, depending on the scoring system. A healthy Travis Hunter will bring playmaking to the defensive side of the ball, and more sacks could make this defense even more impressive in 2026. Despite the appearance of growth and increased fantasy value, the Jaguars (TDSP) sit ninth in the early draft season in the National Fantasy Football Championship.Team Overview
Offensive Outlook
Defensive Outlook
TE Nate Boerkircher, JAX - Not Draft Worthy
Boerkircher's college receiving numbers won't turn heads (19 catches for 219 yards and a touchdown) across four seasons at Nebraska, followed by 19 catches for 198 yards and three scores in 13 games with the Aggies. But his value isn't built on production. He's a physical, aggressive blocker who brings effort and nastiness at the point of attack, which will earn him snaps at the next level regardless of his target share. His passing game role will be limited. Don't expect him to be a featured option in the passing game, but Boerkircher won't waste his opportunities when called upon, and he's capable of winning against single coverage. His quick release off the line helps him hold his own as a run blocker, keeping him relevant on early downs. At 6'5" and 245 pounds, there's still room to add bulk and strength, which could make him an even more impactful presence in the running game as he develops. Fantasy Outlook: Boerkircher won’t be drafted in fantasy leagues this year due to his blocking profile. His targets will be minimal while having a chance to score on a play action pass at the goal line or hit on a surprising long play when not accounted for by a defense in coverage.
QB Trevor Lawrence, JAX - Solid/Safe Pick
Lawrence's 2022 season suggested a higher ceiling down the road. He totaled 4,404 combined yards, 30 touchdowns, and just eight interceptions, finishing 7th in fantasy scoring (354.05 points). He topped 300 yards six times and showed big-play ability with standout performances in Weeks 14 (386/4) and 15 (339/4). His main knock was his 7.0 yards per attempt, and defenses kept him in check often; he threw one or fewer touchdown passes in 11 of 19 games, including the playoffs. 2023 was a grind. Lawrence battled through a left knee injury, added an ankle issue in December, missed Week 17 with a concussion, and ultimately ended the year with an AC joint injury. Despite the wear, his numbers were relatively stable (4,355 combined yards and 25 touchdowns) in one fewer game. But the efficiency and explosiveness weren't there. He topped 300 yards just twice, had two or fewer scores in 13 games, and half his starts fell below 20.00 fantasy points. He still Teams RATT YDS Run% ATT YDS Pass% Plays Yards Jacksonville Jaguars 489 1956 0.465 563 4025 0.535 1052 5981
finished 12th at quarterback (323.70 points), though it felt like a quiet, underwhelming season given his ceiling. 2024 started poorly and ended worse. Through the first nine weeks, Lawrence threw for under 200 yards in five games and never threw for three touchdowns in a single contest. His rushing contribution (26 carries, 119 yards, and 3 TDs) was modest. In Week 9, a left AC joint injury sidelined him for two games, and after returning, a concussion ended his day again. Jacksonville eventually shut him down for the season, with Lawrence undergoing surgery to repair his shoulder, closing the book on his most injury-plagued year yet. Over his first 10 games in a new offense, Lawrence battled a low completion rate (59.8%) while gaining only 6.4 yards per pass attempt, leading to him gaining 233 combined yards and 1.6 touchdowns per game (19.98 FPPG). His best fantasy value came in Week 5 (30.45). The Jags’ offense jelled over their final eight matchups (including the postseason), highlighted by a stellar run by Jacksonville’s starting quarterback. Lawrence scored over 21.50 fantasy points in each game, while delivering at least three touchdowns in five contests. His best value came in Week 15 (381 combined yards and five scores) and Week 16 (299 combined yards with four touchdowns). He averaged 29.04 fantasy points per game over this span in four-point passing touchdown formats, lifting Lawrence to fourth in quarterback scoring (393.25 fantasy points) and scoring 25 combined touchdowns (a career-high 38 TDs for the year). Fantasy Outlook: The 2025 stats for Lawrence were impressive, but he soared to new heights despite a brutal regression year by Brian Thomas (48/707/2), a midseason injury to expected star rookie wideout Travis Hunter (28/298/1), and five missed games by Brenton Strange (46/540/3).
In the National Fantasy Football Championship in mid-May, Lawrence ranks ninth in quarterback. The Jaguars are four deep at wide receiver, with two viable options at the tight end position. His floor is helped by his value in the run game (82/359/9). His completion rate (60.0%) has been an area of weakness in back-to-back years. Lawrence is trending toward 4,500 combined yards, with some pullback expected in touchdowns, while just reaching the prime of his career.
PK Cam Little, JAX - Stud (low risk)
Jacksonville addressed its kicker need in the sixth round of the 2024 NFL Draft, selecting Little out of Arkansas, where he was automatic on extra points (129-for-129) and reliable on field goals (53-of-64, with a long of 56 yards and a 64% success rate from 50-plus).
His rookie season backed up the billing. Little converted 27 of 29 field goal attempts (93.1%), went 5-for-6 from 50 yards and beyond, and was perfect on all 27 extra point tries, a strong debut by any measure. Last season, a 70-yard make in the preseason had fantasy managers dreaming of a Brandon Aubrey-type breakout, and Little didn't disappoint. He hit 30 of 34 field goals (88.2%), converted 50 of 51 extra points, and went a blistering 8-for-10 from 50-plus yards. He finished fifth in kicker fantasy scoring (177.20 points), with 10 games eclipsing 10.00 fantasy points, including six consecutive to close out the year. Fantasy Outlook: Little sits fourth in kicker rankings in May, with the leg and potential opportunity to lead the NFL in scoring in 2026. Last year, the Jaguars scored 55 touchdowns while creating 34 field goal attempts. The key to his kicking ceiling is Jacksonville stalling on more drives in his kicking range.
WR Parker Washington, JAX - Solid/Safe Pick
BREAKOUT ALERT: - Washington is a competitor: tough, reliable, and always in the right spot. What he lacks is the quickness and straight-line speed to consistently beat man coverage, which puts a ceiling on his upside. His wins will come from contested catches and precise route running rather than from creating separation. Over three college seasons, Washington caught 146 of 219 targets for 1,920 yards and 12 touchdowns, with his best year coming in 2021 (64 catches, 820 yards, and 4 TDs in 13 games). As a rookie, he saw limited action until the final eight games of the season, finishing with 16 catches for 132 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21 targets, with brief flashes along the way (6/61/1 and 2/27/1).
Injuries to Christian Kirk and Gabe Davis pushed Washington into a WR2 role in 2024, and Jacksonville rewarded him with a 56.5% snap share. He finished with 32 catches for 390 yards and 3 touchdowns on 51 targets, but the bulk of his production came over the final six games (22 catches for 272 yards and 3 scores on 33 targets), headlined by a breakout Week 13 (6/103/1). Washington was a serviceable option when the opportunity was there, but his role remains dependent on the health of those ahead of him. Over the first 13 games across 14 matchups, Washington had 39 catches for 500 yards and three touchdowns on 67 targets. He scored more than 10.00 points in four matchups (5/76, 8/90, 3/33/1, and 5/71/1). The Jaguars gave him a workhorse opportunity over their final four games (6/146/1, 8/115, 5/87/1, and 7/107/1), highlighted by WR1 snaps over this span (86%, 94%, 79%, and 96%). Fantasy Outlook: Despite his success in 2025, Washington had a weakness in his catch rate (60.4%) while gaining an impressive 14.8 yards per catch. His path and success late last year were what was expected from Brian Thomas. He deserves more chances in 2026, and his early ADP (83) puts him in the Jaguars' early WR1 conversation. I'll put him closer to a dead heat with Jakobi Meyers, whom Jacksonville signed for three years for $60 million in January. Washington could be a possible tease player or an excellent value. Fantasy Outlook: Josh Cameron, C.J. Cameron, Tim Jones, Austin Trammell
Brenton Strange's midseason injury (five missed games) was part of the reason for the Jaguars' setting three-years lows in catches (73), receiving yards (791), and targets (105). At the same time, it created more chances for their wideouts, and their tight ends made bigger plays (10.8 yards per catch). Scoring has been low for Jacksonville TEs (5, 3, and 5) over the past three seasons.
TE Brenton Strange, JAX - Sleeper (undervalued)
Strange entered the NFL as a blocking-first tight end with quiet upside as a receiver. His pass-catching resume was limited coming out of college, but the tools were there: enough speed and route-running ability to threaten defenses down the seam and over the top, while his blocking gives him a clear path to the field on early downs. Over his final three seasons at Penn State, Strange caught 69 passes for 761 yards and 10 touchdowns across 31 games. His rookie year in Year TRC SPT TYD YD% YC TGT TD 2025 73 0.212 791 0.20 10.84 105 5 2024 102 0.297 857 0.23 8.40 138 3 2023 132 0.320 1153 0.26 8.73 167 5 Jacksonville Jaguars
the NFL was a quiet introduction (5 catches for 35 yards and a touchdown on 9 targets). His second season offered a glimpse of future upside. With Evan Engram sidelined in 2024, Strange topped 10.00 fantasy points four times (4/24/1, 5/59, 11/73, and 4/60), showing he can be a productive option when given the opportunity. The catch is that Jacksonville kept him on a short leash (four targets or fewer in 13 of his games), making consistency hard to come by. With the lead tight end role in hand for Strange in 2025, he brought a TE2 fantasy profile into the season. Jacksonville gave him 23 targets over their first four games, leading to 19 catches for 182 yards and no scores. His season was derailed in Week 5 after one catch for 22 yards due to a hip injury, costing him five starts. Down the stretch over eight matchups (including the postseason), Strange scored double-digit fantasy points in four games (5/93, 3/45/1, 5/39/1, and 6/52/1) while averaging 5.1 targets per game. Fantasy Outlook: In the early drafts season in the National Fantasy Football Championship, Strange draws a backend TE2 ranking (19th) and ADP (150). His stats over 12 games in 2025 (46/540/3 on 60 targets) came to 65 catches for 765 yards and four touchdowns, which would have ranked him close to a top-12 tight end in PPR formats. The Jaguars have depth and talent at the wide receiver position, which will lead to Strange being overlooked at times by defenses. At the same time, his overall opportunity should step back slightly due to some quiet weeks. I view him as serviceable based on his price point, while lacking explosiveness due to a low ceiling in touchdowns. I’ll set his bar at 60/650/4 until I take a deep dive into his projections.
RB Bhayshul Tuten, JAX - Sleeper (undervalued)
Tuten began his college career at North Carolina A&T, where he needed a year to find his running back rhythm. After a quiet freshman season (37 carries, 215 yards, 3 TDs, and 10 catches for 230 yards), he broke out in 2022 with 1,705 combined yards, 17 touchdowns, and 31 receptions on 239 touches, averaging 6.6 yards per carry and 11.0 per catch. He transferred to Virginia Tech and immediately became the Hokies' featured back. In 2023, Tuten leaned more on him in the passing game (27 catches, 239 yards, and 2 TDs) while rushing for 863 yards and 10 scores on 173 carries. His final college season showed more explosiveness (183 carries, 1,159 yards, and 15 rushing touchdowns at 6.3 yards per carry). His receiving numbers dipped (23 catches, 81 yards, and 2 TDs), but his impact as a runner was undeniable. At the 2025 NFL Combine, Tuten ran a 4.32 forty, confirming what the tape already showed. He's a between-the-tackles runner who doesn't shy away from contact, with the lateral quickness to find and squeeze through tight creases before they close. Once in open space, he shifts into another gear and pulls away from defenders in a hurry. The one concern is his tendency to lower his head and shoulder into contact to finish runs, effective for extra yards, but a habit that raises some flags around ball security and long-term durability. Tuten's size (5'9" and 205 lbs.) doesn't hold him back as a pass protector; he holds his own against bigger defenders. The areas that need work are his decision-making in tight spaces and his pass- catching fundamentals, both of which will need to be developed before he's a true three-down back at the NFL level. In his rookie season, Tuten failed to develop into a trusted RB3 fantasy option. He gained only 386 combined yards with seven touchdowns and 10 catches on 93 touches. His only playable fantasy value came in two
games (74 combined yards with a touchdown and two catches ~ 15/74/1). Tuten missed two games late in the year that required surgery. Fantasy Outlook: With Travis Etienne no longer on the Jaguars’ roster, Jacksonville will increase Tuten’s usage, but he doesn’t have the profile to fill an RB1 role. I expect a change of pace opportunity in the run game, with sneaky scoring value in the run zone. In the early draft season in the high-stakes market, Tuten projects as a borderline RB2/RB3 with an ADP of 64. To reach this threshold in fantasy points, he needs to average close to 10.00 fantasy points per game in PPR formats, requiring about 1,000 combined yards with seven touchdowns and 20 catches. His explosiveness gives him a chance, but a three-back rotation in Jacksonville could be an issue.


