2026 Team Outlook: Atlanta Falcons

1. RB Bijan Robinson, ATL - Stud (low risk)

Robinson made an immediate impression in his NFL debut, racking up 83 combined yards, six catches, and a touchdown. The one blemish was situational — Atlanta's coaching staff kept him off the goal line, handing Tyler Allgeier three carries inside the five-yard line, two of which resulted in touchdowns. That theme carried through much of the season. Over the following 16 games, Allgeier ground out a pedestrian 3.6 yards per carry on 171 attempts. At the same time, Robinson outpaced him by nearly a full yard 88 0.269 751 0.20 8.53 124 6 Atlanta Falcons

per rush, finishing with 920 yards on 204 carries at 4.5 per attempt and four touchdowns. One ugly detour came in Week 7, when Robinson played just 11 snaps due to illness, a fact the team neglected to mention before kickoff, much to the dismay of fantasy managers. Goal-line work remained scarce all season, with Robinson receiving only three carries inside the five-yard line compared to Allgeier's six. When given room to operate, Robinson was a legitimate fantasy asset. He cracked 20.00 PPR points four times (20.30, 21.20, 27.30, and 26.10) and maintained a floor of at least 10.00 points in 14 outings. In 2024, any lingering role questions disappeared entirely. Atlanta leaned on Robinson early and heavily, and he rewarded that trust with a dominant ground performance (1,456 yards and 14 touchdowns on 304 carries), averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. His receiving work also ticked up, hauling in 61 catches from 72 targets despite fewer big plays in the passing game (7.1 yards per catch and just one receiving touchdown). He was on the field for 75.3% of Atlanta's offensive snaps. Five 100-yard rushing performances punctuated the year (21/103/1, 20/116/2, 26/102/1, 22/125, and 28/170/2), but his best football came down the stretch. Over his final six starts, Robinson carried 137 times for 673 yards and eight touchdowns, adding 16 catches for 72 yards — a torrid finish that translated to 23.08 fantasy points per game in PPR formats. He topped 20.00 points in 10 of his last 12 games and never fell below 10.30, cementing himself as one of the more reliable fantasy backs in the league. Robinson’s rise to stardom reached new heights in 2025, thanks to his impressive success catching the ball (79/820/4 – 10.4 yards per catch). He upped his yards per rush (5.1) while gaining 20 yards or more on 18 of his 363 touches. Six plays reach the 40-yard mark. For the second consecutive year, Robinson was a difference-maker from Week 15 to Week 17 (30.50, 29.80, and 39.90 PPR fantasy points), when league

and overall championships were won. He also had five other impact games (24.40, 28.10, 35.80, 30.30, and 30.50). Robinson has 50 starts across his first 51 games in the NFL. Fantasy Outlook: The only missing link in Robinson’s elite fantasy resume is impact touchdowns, which starts with better overall play by the Falcons’ offense. His ADP (2.1) in the early draft season is just behind Jahmar Gibbs and in front of Ja’Marr Chase. A fantasy drafter can expect 350+ touches, leading to over 2,000 combined yards with 12+ touchdowns and a floor of 75 catches. If the scoring stars align, Robinson would be on a path to post an all-time great running back season.

7. WR Drake London, ATL - Stud (low risk)

Atlanta handed London a starting role from day one as a rookie. He hauled in 72 of 117 targets for 866 yards and four touchdowns, with a Kyle Pitts injury opening up additional chances along the way. London came out of the gates strong over his first three games (5/74, 8/86/1, and 3/54/1), but the following nine weeks were a grind (just 25 catches for 224 yards and two scores on 44 targets), making him a losing fantasy proposition more often than not. Atlanta corrected his course Year WRC SPT WYD YD% YC TGT TD 2025 143 0.431 1811 0.49 12.66 272 10 2024 236 0.648 3117 0.73 13.21 368 16 2023 124 0.379 1650 0.44 13.31 208 4 Atlanta Falcons

over his final five games, feeding him 48 targets and producing four worthwhile outings (6/95, 7/70, 7/96, and 6/120). Heading into his sophomore season, the fantasy market slotted London as the 21st wide receiver, a valuation that glossed over the very real limitations of Atlanta's passing attack. The result was a modest step forward on paper: 69 catches for 905 yards and two touchdowns on 110 targets, good for 174.60 PPR points and a 36th-place finish among wideouts. His big-play ability did improve, highlighted by 17 catches of 20 or more yards and a yards-per-catch average that climbed from 12.0 to 13.1. His production was maddeningly concentrated. His three best games — Week 2 (6/67/1), Week 6 (9/125), and Week 14 (10/172) — all came at home. Over his final eight starts, he was essentially unplayable in six of them (3/36, 1/8, 2/24, 3/39, 4/56, and 4/41), while also going quiet in Week 1 (0/0) and Week 3 (2/31). Despite that inconsistency, the fantasy market swung aggressively back toward London entering 2024, buoyed by Kirk Cousins' arrival and a new offensive coordinator. Drafters priced him as the 10th wide receiver off the board — and for once, the hype was justified. London caught 100 of 158 targets for 1,271 yards and nine touchdowns, finishing as the fifth-best PPR wideout on the season. His peak performances came in Week 5 (12/164/1), Week 17 (7/106), and Week 18 (10/187/2), and he saw double-digit targets in eight matchups. A floor of six catches in 10 games underscored his week-to- week reliability. While his two monster outings (33.40 and 40.70 fantasy points) represented his ceiling, his steadier range (between 10.00 and 19.50 points in 12 games) defined what he truly was: a consistent, borderline-elite fantasy asset. Last season, London drifted through his first three games (8/55, 3/49, and 5/55 on 27 targets). He made his fantasy statement in four (8/110/1, 10/158/1, 9/118/3, 6/104/1, and 7/119) of his next six matchups, with

one due to a missed start in Week 8. His sprained knee reemerged after Week 11, leading to four more missed contests. London limbed him over his final three matchups (3/27, 1/4, and 4/78/1). Fantasy Outlook: When at his best, London brings a true WR1 skill set. The Falcons gave him eight targets or more in 10 of his 12 starts. In the early draft season in the National Fantasy Football Championship, he ranks 7th at wide receiver with a second-round ADP (16). The Falcons signed London to a four-year extension in June for $141 million and $100 million guaranteed, showing their confidence in him. He brings a 100-catch profile with 1,200+ yards and about eight touchdowns.

7. TE Kyle Pitts, ATL - Solid/Safe Pick

The 2022 season was a painful chapter for Pitt's fantasy game managers. A season-ending right knee injury in Week 11 limited him to just 10 games. He finished with 28 catches for 356 yards and two touchdowns on 59 targets. Only three outings were worth starting him (5/87, 3/19/1, and 5/80/1), while a 47.5% catch rate and 5.9 targets per game made him a weekly gamble that rarely paid off. Atlanta never found a way to unlock Pitts in 2023. He logged three catches or fewer in 12 of his 17 games, including a completely invisible final five weeks. His four double-digit PPR performances (15.70, 14.30, 14.70, and 13.90) kept hope alive (three came with a touchdown, and Year TRC SPT TYD YD% YC TGT TD 2025 96 0.289 976 0.26 10.17 127 5 2024 55 0.151 653 0.15 11.87 87 4 2023 114 0.349 1380 0.37 12.11 172 7 Atlanta Falcons

the fourth saw Atlanta target him 11 times), but those flashes were the exception, not the rule. His surface stats (53/667/3 on 90 targets) masked just enough production to land him 13th in tight end scoring at 137.70 fantasy points, but a 58.9% catch rate and a 64.3% snap share told the story of a player being underutilized and underperforming in equal measure. 2024 brought further regression. His target share dried up to just 4.4 per game, and his catch rate improved to 63.5%. Pitts continued to generate chunk plays (40 or more yards on three catches). His lack of volume wasn't enough to make him a reliable fantasy option. He slid to 15th in tight end scoring with 131.20 points, with one impact performance (4/91/2) and five other passable outings (3/26/1, 7/88, 3/70, 7/65, and 4/44/1) carrying most of his fantasy weight. His final eight games were particularly discouraging (just 13 catches for 117 yards and one score on 25 targets), punctuated by five outright bust weeks (1/9, 0/0, 1/14, 1/7, and 2/15) that summed up the maddening reality of rostering Pitts. In his fifth season with the Falcons, Pitts set career highs in catches (88), touchdowns (5), and targets (118), highlighted by gaining 20 yards or more on 12 of his catches. His impact game (11/166/3) came in Week 15. He had double-digit targets in three contests, with a floor of five catches in nine games. Pitts ranked second in PPR fantasy points (210.80) while scoring between 11.00 and 18.00 fantasy points in eight matchups. Fantasy Outlook: After being an excellent fantasy value in 2025, Pitts draws a top 5 tight end consideration this draft season. His ADP (86) in the National Fantasy Football Championship ranks him fifth at the tight end position. His success last year suggests a 70/800/5 outcome. Pitts hasn’t missed a game over the past three years.

30. PK Nick Folk, ATL - Deep-league Only

Over the past three seasons, Folk made 78 of his 81 field goals (96.3%), with strength from 50 yards or more (18-for-20). He has two missed extra points over his last 77 chances. Fantasy Outlook: Last year, Atlanta created 76 scoring chances (37 touchdowns and 39 field goals). Folk no longer brings name value, and age (42) isn’t his friend. In the early draft season in the high-stakes market, he is the 18th kicker off the board.

32. QB Michael Penix Jr., ATL - Deep-league Only

Penix arrived in the NFL carrying both impressive credentials and considerable baggage. He spent six seasons at Indiana and Washington, but his college career was defined as much by durability concerns as by on-field production. He tore his right ACL in 2018, dealt with a right shoulder issue in 2019, tore the same ACL again in 2020, and suffered a left shoulder injury in 2021. His move to Washington proved transformative. Over two remarkable seasons, Penix went 25-3, racking up 9,644 combined yards, 74 touchdowns, and 19 interceptions. The injuries left a clear mark on his rushing ability, managing just 100 yards on 70 carries, but he found the end zone seven times on the ground. His passing volume was equally notable, as he averaged 36.0 attempts per game. After reviewing some of Penix's highlights, his arm talent is hard to argue with. Given a clean pocket and time to operate, he has the tools to succeed at the next level. What stood out was how rarely he was truly tested — only four plays across the film showed him being rushed or forced to improvise outside the pocket, hinting that his college environment didn't always prepare him for NFL-level pressure. Washington's protection also masked some concerns, surrendering just 19 sacks over his two seasons there (seven in 2022, twelve in 2023), reflecting the relatively modest pass rush Washington faced in the PAC- 12. One mechanical note worth watching: when driving the ball, Penix occasionally needed to generate more power from his base and shoulder to execute with authority. NFL defenses will scheme to move him, stress his legs, and test his accuracy under duress. He came to the NFL at 24, and drafting older quarterbacks with injury histories in the early rounds is always a calculated gamble. His combination of age, past injuries, and the

physical punishment that comes with playing quarterback in the NFL makes him a risky bet as a true franchise cornerstone. Atlanta made that bet anyway, selecting Penix eighth overall in the 2024 NFL Draft and signing him to a four-year, $22.9 million contract the following June. He wasn't without help in college — Washington receiver Rome Odunze consistently created separation and made plays, easing Penix's path to the professional level. The Falcons gave him three starts to close out 2024, and his results were modest. Penix threw for 737 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions, while completing just 58.0% of his passes. Defenses brought him down three times in those starts, a small but telling preview of the challenges ahead. After his ninth start in 2025, Penix was out for the season with a torn ACL in his left knee. He offered playable value in Week 1 (319 combined yards and two touchdowns), Week 4 (313/2), and Week 9 (240/3), but under 180 passing yards in four other matchups (135/0, 172/0, 177/1, and 175). Penix also missed Week 8 with a knee issue. Defensive only sacked him 13 times. Fantasy Outlook: With 10 months of recovery time, Penix has a reasonable chance of being ready for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season. His command (59.6% completion rate) of the football has a lot to be desired after 14 games with Atlanta. The Falcons signed Tua Tagovailoa to a minimal contract, giving Penix competition for the starting quarterback job. Last year, Atlanta ranked 28th in fantasy points (280.85) in four-point passing touchdown formats, just ahead of the Miami Dolphins (264.60). As a result, all quarterbacks on the Falcons must work their way out of the free agent pool during the regular season.