UPDATED:Week 15 NFL and Survivor picks with fantasy angles

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week 15 of the NFL season...

These game predictions do not reflect the opinion of fftoolbox.com, just those of a solo fantasy writer who is hoping a huge outing by CJ2K washes away the taste of an otherwise bitter season...As a reminder, email any questions, be it about lineup fantasy decisions, trades, strategy or free agents, to podcast@fftoolbox.com or send tweets to @benstandig. Also, download the weekly FFToolbox.com podcast - hosted by yours truly with guests from the Rotoworld, CBS Sports, NY Time, Sports Illustrated and the National Football Post. Times can vary so download us on ITunes and you won't miss out.

***I'm locked and loaded this morning with fantasy thoughts. Since we couldn 't work out a second podcast, I'm here for any last minute questions. Post them in the comments field, hit me on Twitter (@benstandig), email me at podcast@fftoolbox.com. Seriously, ask away, let's talk it out. Ultimately any lineup decision is your call and your call alone, but I'm here as a source so don't be shy...

Home Team in CAPS

Dallas 27 TAMPA BAY 21 (+7): Felix Jones can salvage a disappointing fantasy season by capitalizing on the stellar matchup before him. Bucs defense allows 26.3 ppg to fantasy runners, worst in the league. Yikes. Only concern comes from perhaps an inspired performance on the national stage, hence the line call, but the Cowboys starting back has top-15 RB potential this week...Still hard to sit Laurent Robinson - and I'm not - but he saw about half the snaps as Miles Austin and Dez Bryant last week...If you want to start Mike Williams, sure, I guess. I'm more interested in Kellen Winslow; Cowboys allow eighth most points to fantasy tight ends...

NY GIANTS 26 (-6.5) Washington17: The Giants woeful secondary, one that has allowed 24 touchdown passes, has me thinking Santana Moss posts a second straight solid outing. Even Jabar Gaffney is a sneaky WR3 play while Roy Helu streak of 100-yard rushing days has a good chance of reaching four..As for the Giants, only tricky call comes at running back now that Ahmad Bradshaw is expected back for real-for real. I'd lean Bradshaw over Brandon Jacobs, though both can be used as low-end RB2 backs, though you can feel OK sitting them if better options exist...

Green Bay 38 (-13.5) KANSAS CITY 10: No Greg Jennings means more fantasy love for James Jones, a viable WR3 play this week, though I'd argue Jermichael Finley becomes the top beneficiary of the Packers playing without their top wide out...Kyle Orton starts for the Chiefs which gives them a puncher's chance at production, at least Dwayne Bowe owners hope so. For the first time in a month, I'd feel comfortable using the playmaking wide out as a WR2.

New Orleans 28 MINNESOTA 21 (+8): With Aaron Rodgers potentially/likely playing less than a full four quarters, Drew Brees takes over the projected top QB spot this week. Still hard to use any of his targets outside of Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston, though I'm a bit of sucker for Lance Moore as low-end WR3...Percy Harvin's raucous second half continues, topping 100 total yards and finding the end zone.

CHICAGO 16 Seattle 14 (+3.5): If you have more than one fantasy play in this game, you might be in trouble. Marshawn Lynch of course, Marion Barber in a RB/flex pinch, Doug Baldwin if you want to take a chance Both defenses have potential, though I'd lean toward the Seahawks against Caleb Hanie...

BUFFALO 24 (-1.5) Miami 21: Still liking Reggie Bush - don't forget who's been championing him most of the season - but I'm curious if the Dolphins will look to get Daniel Thomas more involved now that the season is winding down and a coaching change has been made...Over the last two games Anthony Fasano has averaged 3.5 receptions and 61 yards. The Bills allow the fifth most points to fantasy tight ends...

HOUSTON 28 Carolina 27 (+6): I made the playoffs in five of my six leagues, still alive in four, face Arian Foster this week in two. Considering this frightening matchup, fearful the number my remaining teams gets cut in half by the Texans top runner alone. Ben Tate also is scary as a flex or low-end RB2 option...Greg Olsen falls outside the top-12 tight ends this week, facing a Texans defense allowing the fifth fewest points to fantasy tight ends. By the way, Joel Dreesen has a a touchdown in three straight games. To bad that's about all he does.

Tennessee 23 INDIANAPOLIS 20 (+6.5): Only real question with the Titans players is whether they normally solid, but so-so receiving options deserve a significant bump up in weekly ranking based on the ideal matchup. And the answer is...not really. Sure, I can see Damian Williams or Nate Washington streaking across the field on their way to a 48- yard touchdown, but the Titans will rely on the ground game most of all. Both targets have upside, but lack consistency and Washington for one just went off last week. Don't use them over safer plays.

Cincinnati 27 (-6.5) ST. LOUIS 17: All Bengals - Benson, Green, Gresham - are active this week, Dalton as a QB2. Considering the Rams are, according to the numbers, stout against the tight end, don't sit a regular starter for Gresham, though I'm doing exactly that since Vernon Davis faces Pittsburgh...As for the Rams, you know the drill. Steven Jackson, though I'd rather have Benson, and Brandon Lloyd as a WR3. That's it, that's the list.

OAKLAND 28 (Pick 'em) Detroit 26: Denarious Moore is expected back this week and adding his big play ability breathes life back into what has been a stale offense. Good news for Michael Bush owners as the Lions safeties will need to guard against the deep ball, but I'd be fighting with myself over having to start Carson Palmer. Better he's at home and the Lions secondary is beatable, but his penchant for picks, pass...Titus Young has 6 receptions for 147 yards and a score over his last two games. The speedy rookie should see plenty of one-on-one coverage against secondary that allows over 23 points to fantasy receivers per game...

New England 31 DENVER 24 (+7.5): Anybody hear much about this game? Yeah, I'm liking Tim Tebow has a top-10 option for sure and if you want to tell me the combination of his legs and the Pats woeful secondary bumps the Broncos quarterback into the top-5, I'm not going to argue with you. As for his targets, both Decker and Thomas have low-end WR2 value, but scary value at that considering Tebow's penchant for misfires. I like them both in standard leagues more than PPR...

NY Jets 20 (+3) PHILADELPHIA 17: Can't stand Michael Vick's matchup this week. The Jets defense has allowed the second fewest touchdown passes this season and over his last three games in standard leagues, Vick has scored 9, 8 and 10 points. I debated picking up the likes of T.J. Yates, but couldn't make that bold of a move. Here's hoping Vick has his wheels because without some rushing production, he might be lucky to be a top-15 quarterback this week...Santonio over DeSean...

ARIZONA 24 (-6.5) Cleveland 17: Larry Fitzgerald, Beanie Wells. That's it for the Cards. As for the Browns, Seneca Wallace starting should not limit whatever upside there is for Greg Little, who looks better than normal against a blah Cardinals secondary. If forced to pick, I'd go Little over Early Doucet as an upside receiver play in this game.

Baltimore 23 (-2) SAN DIEGO 20 : You probably have no choice but to ride the roller coaster that is Vincent Jackson's fantasy production, but you can sit out the Anquan Boldin as WR2 version against a Chargers defense that allows the 10th fewest points to fantasy wide receivers...I shouldn't like Philip Rivers much this week, and yet, I kind of do. Call me a sucker for the Chargers in December...

San Francisco 14 Pittsburgh 13 (+3): As I said on this week's podcast, I can make the argument that if Big Ben sits, there are no must starts in this game. With Charlie Batch at quarterback, Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown owners will be relying on the receivers to turn a five-yard hitch into a 70-yard score. Against the Steelers defense, Frank Gore won't find many running lanes. And to be clear, considering the injury situation and the Monday night kickoff, I struggle with the idea of starting Roethlisberger this week, even if he is a tough SOB. Well, unless you're prepared to use Batch or Alex Smith as your playoff QB should the need arise. I'm not.

Last week: Straight (10-5), Spread (9-5-1); Overall: Straight (123-63), Spread (91-91-4)...

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Survivor picks - Hmmm, OK, let's risk Arizona...Wk. 1 - Houston...Wk. 2 - Detroit...Wk. 3 - Carolina...Wk. 4 - Tampa Bay...Wk. 5 -NY Giants...Wk. 6 - Pittsburgh...Wk. 7 - New Orleans...Wk. 8 = Baltimore...Wk. 10 - Philadelphia...Wk. 11 - Green Bay...Wk. 12 - Atlanta...Wk. 13 - New England...Wk 14 - NY Jets