Best Bets for Week Eight of the NFL season

Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week Eight of the NFL season...

These fantasy musings do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com but just a solo fantasy writer with too much time on his hand, but who got this posted late because the dog ate his homework...

Last week: 8-5 straight, 6-6-1 spread

Overall: 68-35 straight; 52-50-1 spread

Baltimore 23 (-3.5) Denver 17: The Broncos are legit, but no way this Ray Lewis led squad loses four in a row. This could even get ugly if the Ravens defense smells blood, though Kyle Orton will post fantasy-worthy numbers. So will Ray Rice, arguably the first-half fantasy MVP.

Chicago 34 (-13) Cleveland 17: When a 3-3 team that lost 45-10 the week before is a 13-point favorite the following week, you know it is an odd NFL season. Matt Forte should finally get some production going.

Houston 24 (-3.5) Buffalo 16: Only because the Texans defense is ordinary but at times brutal do the Bills have a shot at staying close. Week two with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center is not good news for any offense and he can't keep up with Matt Schaub.

Green Bay 27 (-3) Minnesota 20: For all that is holy, please, please, please let Aaron Rodgers throw three scores in a Packers win while Favre turns back into Turnover Favre in his return to the land of cheese.

Indianapolis 31 (-13) San Francisco 17: Alex Smith may ultimately be better than Shaun Hill, but right now he is not in the same universe as Peyton Manning, who gets back into 300 passing yards mode in the win.

NY Jets 17 (-3) Miami 13: Two of the harder teams to gauge in terms of whether they really can contend for a playoff berth or not. The Jets defense rises to the challenge, keeping Ronnie and Ricky at least slightly under wraps while setting up two scores after confusing Chad Henne.

Detroit 27 (-3.5) St. Louis 17: If two horrid teams play in a game that is blacked out in the local market, does it make a sound? As long as they do not snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, the Lions fans should have a rare chance to cheer as the home squad takes down the brutal Rams.

Dallas 30 Seattle 21 (+9.5): Miles Austin touchdowns versus DeMarcus Ware sacks. Playing against the Seahawks suspect secondary and leaky offensive line, could go either way. The proposition, not the game.

San Diego 31 Oakland 16 (+16.5): Unless the Raiders can control the clock with their solid road game, they have no chance against the Chargers potent attack. Tomlinson finally hits pay dirt and racks up 90+ total yards.

Tennessee 28 Jacksonville 27 (+3): Once again David Garrard and the Jags passing game light up the Titans secondary, but Chris Johnson dominates and Vince Young makes enough plays for Tennessee's first win.

Arizona 24 Carolina 17 (+10): Beanie Wells establishes himself as the Cards top runner with a power running performance against the Panthers shoddy run defense.

NY Giants 20 (-1) Philadelphia 13: Only because the Redskins continued their slide into the NFL's basement did the Eagles poor showing on Monday night get overlooked. Brian Westbrook is likely out and Donovan McNabb is in one of those Chuck Knoblauch type grooves with all his throws. That is a bed recipe against a Giants team entering on a two-game losing streak.

New Orleans 34 Atlanta 24 (+11): And this week's winner in the "who will be the Saints other productive receiver besides Marques Colston...Lance Moore, come on down! You are the winner of six receptions for 72 yards and a score!

Survivor Picks: These are my personal picks each week for my various (cough, cough) pools

Week 1 - New Orleans, Baltimore

Week 2 - Washington, Green Bay (and one pool goes by the wayside)

Week 3 - Baltimore

Week 4 - San Francisco (Chicago is a close second)

Week 5 - Philadelphia (though there are waaaaaay to many good options this week so everyone "should" advance)

Week 6 - Green Bay (Jacksonville against the Rams is the gutsier call, but another week of strong options)

Week 7 - Indianapolis (the Colts and Pats are the only worthy options this week, even with the road and neutral sites)

Week 8 - Chicago (Colts are good if available. Chargers are ok, but hard to trust the Bolts and it is a division game)