Best Bets for Week Six of the NFL season
Who will win, step up and get beat down in Week Six of the NFL season...
We'll skip the normal intro and get right into the picks, which of course are for informational purposes only. In addition, these fantasy musings do not reflect the opinion of FFToolbox.com but just a solo fantasy writer with too much time on his hands...
Last week: 8-6 straight, 7-7 spread
Overall: 53-23 straight; 40-36 spread
Washington 17 Kansas City 14 (+6): The dysfunction within the Redskins family makes the Jon and Kate brood look like the Brady Bunch in comparison and it is only getting worse by the minute. Players are going after each other, management, the media and ever former Redskins heroes are taking shots. With that said, they still have more talent than the game, but rebuilding Chiefs and become the worst 3-3 team in FL history. Clinton Portis should receive enough carries to post solid yards even if at less than a four yards per carry clip, while Dwayne Bowe should make three big plays against the overrated DeAngelo Hall...
never mind...Kansas City 20 Washington 17. As my old boss at a financial services company once told me, don't catch a falling knife and the Redskins are falling. Plus LT Chris Samuels was already ruled out for the game and now may be done for the season, adding to downward spira. (if you think I am being negative on the Redskins, try living here. Fans are ready to take to the streets, torches and all)
Cincinnati 24 Houston 20 (+4.5): Houston has a problem; they cannot stop the run. Cedric Benson is licking his chops and leads the Bengals to a shocking 5-1 start, but Matt Schaub moves the ball enough to keep the game in doubt until the end. It would not be a Bengals this year otherwise.
Pittsburgh 27 (-14) Cleveland 10: Big Ben has quietly turned in a top-3 fantasy quarterback performance year to date. No reason to see that status changing in this one, especially if a Rashard Mendenhall illness has the Steelers passing even more and more. With Braylon Edwards traded and the Steelers stout run defense standing in the way of Jamal Lewis, there is not one Browns player worth starting.
Baltimore 20 (+3) Minnesota 17: Brett Favre and the Vikings have looked very good so far playing against the Browns, Lions, Niners, Packers and Rams. Now they get a real test against one of the NFL's elite and that will lead to a battered Favre and a home loss. On the other side, the versatile Ray Rice has another big day, this time as a receiver.
Jacksonville 31 (-9.5) St. Louis 17: How bad do you have to be to be a 9.5 point dog to a team that lost 41-0 the week before. Meet your 2009 Rams! Torry Holt and Mike "Party Boy" Sims-Walker get jiggy with it against what is a horrid Rams secondary, though Donnie Avery will finish with game-high receiving yardage total.
NY Giants 27 (+3) New Orleans 23: Lots of folks love the Bourbon Street boys this week and the Giants have injuries on defense and to their QB, though Eli will not miss the game in his hometown. With that said, the Giants are the best team in the NFC, if not the entire league, until further notice. Drew Brees will get back into fantasy owners good graces, though not an elite day, but look for him to attack the Giants secondary deep down the middle. There might even be a Lance Moore sighting in this one.
Carolina 24 (-3) Tampa Bay 20: As long as Steve Smith (knee) is on the field - and he is expected to play - he will torch the Bucs secondary as he did twice last year. If not, it is officially panic time for his fantasy owners (myself included). Even Jake Delhomme and Mushin Muhammad are worthy of a bye week start this week... Cadillac Williams should find running lanes against the Panthers inferior run defense and Josh Johnson showed he can move the ball for those owners in need of a last second QB.
Green Bay 34 (-13) Detroit 20: Aaron Rodgers should enjoy a rare game where he can stand in the pocket and look for Greg Jennings, Donald Driver and Jermichael Finley down the field. Calvin Johnson is looking like a game-time decision with a lean towards sitting at this point. Bryant Johnson should pick up extra targets if that happens.
Philadelphia 30 (-14) Oakland 10: I was instinctively going to take the home team getting double digit points at home, but then remembered that the Raiders were channeling their owner on the field by playing the living dead. DeSean and LeSean each find the end zone in this laugher, but the frustration for Brian Westbrook owners extends another week.
Seattle 31 (-3) Arizona 27: The Seahawks continue their turnaround season, while the Cards continue their slide back to the middle. Both Matt Hasselbeck and Kurt Warner will throw for three scores, but the Seahawks defense forces more turnovers to eke out the win.
NY Jets 24 (-9.5) Buffalo 13: Do not count on Rex Ryan's defense to get rolled two weeks in a row. Trent Edwards should be nervous. The weather is also looking like a factor and strong winds should keep Mark Sanchez from throwing his great deep ball to Braylon Edwards too often, but the duo finds the end zone for the second straight week. Terrell Owens will be jealous of that.
New England 34 (-9) Tennessee 20: Who did the Titans piss off to have Peyton Manning and Tom Brady on their schedule in back-to-back weeks. Entering the game 0-5 just makes it all the more painful and having the Golden Boy throw down field haymaker after haymaker will only make it worse. The Titans should take advantage of the Pats weakness at linebacker by getting Chris Johnson more involved in the passing game.
Atlanta 24 Chicago 23 (+3): Matt Ryan vs. Jay Cutler. Matt Forte vs. Michael Turner. These were questions fantasy owners debated throughout the preseason, making this a statement game for those that made the choice to pick one over the other. Fantasy wise, all should be probably feel about the same in this one, though Dirty Bird owners will be sticking their chest out just a bit more Monday morning.
San Diego 27 (-3.5) Denver 20: I've been a believer of the Broncos all season and last week's win over the Pats should convince the doubters, but the Bolts MUST win this division game. The Chargers do not have the power running game ideally suited to beat the Broncos, but they do have Philip Rivers and he gets it done with 250+ yards and two scores.
Survivor Picks: These are my personal picks each week for my various (cough, cough) pools
Week 1 - New Orleans, Baltimore
Week 2 - Washington, Green Bay (and one pool goes by the wayside)
Week 3 - Baltimore
Week 4 - San Francisco (Chicago is a close second)
Week 5 - Philadelphia (though there are waaaaaay to many good options this week so everyone "should" advance)
Week 6 - Green Bay (Jacksonville against the Rams is the gutsier call, but another week of strong options)








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