Golf Rankings for Valero Open
We head off to Texas to the Valero Texas Open played at TPC San Antonio on the AT&T Oaks course. The Oaks course is a par-72, 7,435 yard course with Bermudagrass on the greens yet again. It's a long course, but the narrow fairways and punitive bunkers take some of the air out of the long hitters' ability to outdrive the hazards.
Last year there was a huge disadvantage to teeing off early on Thursday as these winds were whipping around the course. Just 24 of the 72 who made the cut last year played in the early morning so we'll take last year's results with a huge grain of salt.
Where should we focus our statistical microscope this week? This is one of the harder courses on Tour and we'll need to have golfers who can score and stay out of trouble.
Birdie or Better Percentage (BOB%): Scoring be thy name.
Bogey Avoidance (BA): Staying out of trouble? Check. As Kevin Na showed last year with his 16 on the par-4 ninth, there is trouble off the fairway.
Par 5 Scoring Efficiency (550 – 600 yards) – P5SE: There are four par fives on the course and all of them are between 567 to 604 yards so we'll use the ability to score well on these distances as part of the analysis. This will be our tie breaker this week.
I'm focused on 2016 stats now and I'll use 2015 stats as a reference point.
And of course, we examine Strokes Gained: Putting and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green each week with SG:T2G being one of the key stats this week.
As always, check back on the weather Wednesday to see the final forecast. This weekend it looks like the weather will play a role as it always does in San Antonio. The course is under a flash flood watch until late Tuesday night. San Antonio will see thunderstorms until the end of time so the course will likely be wet all week. In good news, the wind looks to be manageable for the tournament. We could see some delays on Thursday afternoon if the heavier thunderstorms come to fruition.
Group A in Yahoo! is nearly devoid of talent. I'll likely have Phil in one spot and throw darts at one of the upside plays.
Group B has a lot of talent and I will probably stay with the chalk for three of my four spots. Group C has too many solid options to choose from so this will be where differentiation will surface.
Charley Hoffman - World Ranking: #49
Jimmy Walker - World Ranking: #36
Patrick Reed - World Ranking: #17
Matt Kuchar - World Ranking: #15
Phil Mickelson - World Ranking: #24
Brooks Koepka - World Ranking: #10
Brandt Snedeker - World Ranking: #32
Zach Johnson - World Ranking: #69
Kevin Chappell - World Ranking: #25
J.B. Holmes - World Ranking: #50
Chris Kirk - World Ranking: #111
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