Week 10: Sit 'Em
This weekly column will feature players that are normally solid bets for fantasy production, but not worth starting in a particular week.
Week 9 Recap:
Not too bad in Week 9. A few off target predictions, but all in all a solid call.
Ronnie Brown had 90 some yards from scrimmage and a rushing touchdown.
Ricky Williams was a non-factor.
Jonathan Stewart had five carries for 30 yards and a fumble loss.
Michael Bush carried the ball five times for 17 yards.
Marion Barber rushed for 14 total yards.
Marques Colston had eight receptions for 65 yards.
Philadelphia's defense allowed 24 points and hung on to beat Indy.
Week 10 Sit'Em:
You can stop holding your breath and scouring the waivers for flex steals, bye weeks are almost over. Once Week 10 is over we can get back to our normal fantasy decision-making mistakes outside of bye weeks. I found my bye weeks quite successful this season after having poor starts in several fantasy leagues. I was able to take advantage of match-ups with other owners who were less experienced in the bye week shuffle and taking risks when needed. Now that my rosters are tweaked, I am ready for the last few weeks of the regular season. I hope you have all had success in your bye weeks and are prepared for a fantasy playoff run. In order to best make your bid, consider your roster options carefully. Match-ups are not always king, but hold great weight in my book. Consistency is your best friend at this stage in the season. Play your consistent producers. This week I have a quarterback, two running backs, three receivers and a defense for you to consider sitting.
LT and Santonio Holmes face a tough match-up against Cleveland. Cleveland and New York will grind this game out, but LT faces a rush defense that has only allowed one rushing touchdown this season and Holmes is an all or nothing deep threat in my book.
Kyle Orton and his passing game with Brandon Lloyd have been successful, but this week Flowers will cover Lloyd and that does not look promising. Denver is in a slide and Kansas City will capitalize.
Matt Forte's rushing game has not been the best. I say hold off against Minnesota this week. Forte is safe in PPR formats.
Randy Moss is with his third team this season and I just cannot bring myself to trust Moss with a starting spot on my roster.
Chad Henne is struggling and that means decreased productivity for Brandon Marshall. Marshall has only one touchdown on the season and is a sit in my book until we see consistency.
The Baltimore defense has not faced many solid teams this season. This week they are up against 6-2 Atlanta on Thursday night. Look for a good game and for Atlanta to provide some adversity.
Orton and his passing attack -- featuring Brandon Lloyd -- have been somewhat successful, but this week Lloyd will be matched up against cornerback Brandon Flowers of Kansas City. Denver's running game is bad enough to sink it's offense, now Orton and Lloyd must beat an exceptional pass defense. I question anything positive out of the 2-6 Denver offense this week. Look for Orton to get some chances with a likely score, but Kansas City looks to own this match-up.
Forte is great in PPR formats and occasionally has a solid outing rushing. This week against Minnesota will be an interesting match-up. Chicago's defense is surprisingly solid and Minnesota's has been holding their own with no blow out losses this season. Forte is one of my backs that I constantly question his value. The weeks I choose not to play him tend to be the weeks he performs well, but I do feel that there are better options available this week.
Cleveland is not the best defense in the league by any means, but they have pulled it together in the red zone when it comes to rushing touchdowns scored. The Cleveland defense has only allowed one rushing touchdown on the season. LT is a stud and I have been impressed in his return with a vengeance this season, but his rushing yardage is down recently and I do not think he is going to get any goal line nods this game. LT has value in PPR leagues this week as in any other week, but if you are not rewarded for receptions consider LT a sit'em candidate.
Just because Holmes had a solid game last week does not mean that this trend will continue. Sanchez seems to have an affinity for Homes as a deep threat option, but that means all or nothing for the most part. Holmes has value if he can consistently break free of coverage and get open downfield. My concern is with how often this happens. Cleveland has proven to be a tough adversary for many teams this season. Look for this to continue against New York.
Henne is struggling and therefore Marshall's upside can be questioned. Marshall has only one score this season and his productivity is up and down. I would project that Marshall will still have a few touchdowns this season, but this week is not likely one of those weeks. I forecast Henne and Marshall will connect for 5-6 passes this week for 60-70 yards. Tennessee will be trying to run Miami into the ground in this match-up. This is not encouraging either as Tennessee will burn up the clock and keep the Miami offense at bay.