2024 New York Jets Team Outlook
New York's 2023 season was over before it started after Aaron Rodgers suffered a season-ending injury on the second play. All the hype before last season is now being transferred to 2024 with Rodgers expected to be fully healthy.
The Jets have a ton of bonafide studs in the fantasy football landscape. 2022 second-round pick Breece Hall broke out in his second professional season and finished as the RB2 in PPR formats. Hall was electric, finishing with over 1,500 all-purpose yards and nine touchdowns. Only Christian McCaffrey scored more fantasy points. Opposing defenses will no longer be able to stack the box to contain the run as they will have to respect Rodgers's arm.
Garrett Wilson also showcased some serious skills in 2023. Despite losing his signal caller, New York's go-to target finished with 95 receptions and 1,042 yards but only found the end zone three times. Wilson should be a WR1 in all formats with Rodgers back in the fold.
The Jets also signed former Los Angeles Chargers wideout, Mike Williams who could be a solid mid-round value. He's a big guy who can highpoint the football and find the end zone. He often played second fiddle to Keenan Allen in LA so the transition to New York with Rodgers and Wilson could be the ideal fit.
"With Aaron Rodgers healthy and a rebuilt offensive line, the Jets should have a phenomenal passing offense. Wilson has had back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons despite playing with eight different quarterbacks so he should shine with Rodgers." - Jake Asman, The Jake Asman Show
Though Rodgers was drafted as a top-15 quarterback last season, can he be a starting quarterback in fantasy with father time knocking on the door and his physical limitations increasingly apparent in recent years? The four-time MVP enters a scenario with promising talent but the offensive line has to protect him.
Rodgers' pressured passer rating has recently declined:
2020: 89.3
2021: 67.9
2022: 62.6
The Jets ranked fourth highest in sacks allowed and also stood at 23rd in average yards per catch after reception. Will Rodgers have enough time to find his targets in 2024? That's the big question for the new offensive line. If so, Rodgers can deliver QB1 numbers and lead the Jets to the postseason. However, if the Jets struggle in the trenches, it will limit this team's fantasy prowess from top to bottom.
QB Aaron Rodgers, NYJ - Gamble (high risk)
Aaron Rodgers is a polarizing figure, both on and off the field. On one hand, he's one of the game's all-time great signal callers. Ignoring his brief 2023 run, Rodgers still showcased excellent arm strength, and the ability to diagnose and dismantle the opposing defense. On the other hand, Rodgers, 40, is on a three-year decline in accuracy, yards, touchdowns, and big-time throw rate while tossing the second-most interceptions of his career in 2022. His rushing production has also plummeted each year since 2018. However, the Jets have some intriguing young skill position talent marred by a substandard offensive line. It paints the picture of Rodgers being a high-risk/reward fantasy option in his Jets redux. ADVICE: Risk/Reward QB2
RB Breece Hall, NYJ - Stud (low risk)
Breece Hall had a miraculous recovery from a torn ACL that ended his rookie season. Hall returned to play all 17 games, led all running backs in targets (95), and topped double-digit fantasy points in eight of his final 13 starts. This is doubly impressive when you consider just how impotent the Jets passing attack was without Aaron Rodgers. With Rodgers back, two new starting tackles, and a vastly improved supporting cast, Hall will find much more success on the ground. He's an elite all-around talent who should be nabbed in the first round of every fantasy draft this summer. ADVICE: Elite three-down back with league-winning potential
RB Braelon Allen, NYJ - Fantasy Handcuff
ADVICE: A sizable power back, Allen is only 20 years old. Allen will compete for the No. 2 job behind Breece Hall and could factor in as a short-yardage option with underrated pass-catching skills. A solid late-round handcuff target.
WR Garrett Wilson, NYJ - Stud (low risk)
A popular breakout candidate last season, Garrett Wilson's production was impeded after the season-ending injury to QB Aaron Rodgers. Yet, Wison still ranked fourth in the league with 168 targets and a robust 29.9% target share. With Rodgers back, Wilson will see a boost in yards per route and downfield participation. Additionally, an improved line and supporting cast will help open things up for Wilson. Rodgers has a long history of prioritizing his top wideout early and often. Wilson is an elite talent and it's only a matter of time before he busts out in a huge way. ADVICE: Avoid recency bias. Wilson is a prime year three breakout candidate
WR Mike Williams, NYJ - Quality Backup
Mike Williams was off to a fast start last season, posting WR15 numbers before tearing his ACL in Week 3. Williams is recovering well from surgery and is expected to be ready for the season opener. He signed a one-year deal with the Jets and will add a downfield element that complements Garrett Wilson well. From 2021-2023, Williams was a top-20 wideout in fantasy points per game, which bodes well for his potential in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense. However, Williams is 30 and coming off a major knee injury that could impact his speed. He's a risk/reward flex option with some upside. ADVICE: Williams is a risk/reward flex option coming off of a major injury