2024 Buffalo Bills Team Outlook
WR Curtis Samuel, --- - Bye Week Fill-in
Curtis Samuel has been remarkably consistent, posting WR44 and WR48 overall numbers in his final two seasons in Washington. Samuel ran the 12th-highest slot rate (68.7%) last season but with Khalil Shakir expected to take the majority of inside reps, Samuel will be thrust into perimeter duties. That's a questionable role for a player who ranked 93rd in ADOT and 91st in yards per catch. The upgrade at quarterback potentially helps, but Samuel's fantasy prospects would improve if he were utilized closer to the line of scrimmage. It remains to be seen how the Bills will employ their new addition. ADVICE: Middling WR4 with some modes value if he becomes Buffalo's slot receiver
TE Dalton Kincaid, BUF - Stud (low risk)
A league-high 73% of Buffalo's air yards from last season are available, and Buffalo also ranks second with 317 vacated targets. Dalton Kincaid. is expected to make a jump in his second season and will be in a prime position to command a healthy share of those opportunities. Kincaid showed real promise in the final month of the 2023 season, finishing as the TE7 and TE2 in the Bils' final two regular-season games. Look for Kincaid to improve on his 17.7% target share and to develop into more of a red-zone weapon to replace Stefon Diggs. ADVICE: Kincaid is in prime position to see a boost in targets and enter the Tier-1 conversation
TE Dawson Knox, BUF - Low Potential
ADVICE: Knox was usurped by Dalton Kincaid and only produced two games with 10-plus fantasy points. He's only on the TE2 radar if Kincaid misses time.
PK Tyler Bass, BUF - Solid/Safe Pick
Bass fell off again last year. His kicking point totals have now declined four consecutive seasons. We're guessing that slide will stop, as the Bills probably won't be as effective scoring touchdowns with all the new personnel. That should lead to a few more field goal tries for Bass, who projects to be a quality top-10 fantasy option.
Injury Status: Injured ReserveBuffalo - Solid/Safe Pick
The Bills ranked ninth in defense last year and allowed the fourth-fewest points. They racked up a healthy 54 sacks, 30 turnovers, and scored a pair of DST TDs. Kalil Shakir profiles as one of the better kick return men in football, so continue to view the Bills as a locked in top-10 fantasy unit that should be startable in all formats.
