Preseason - 2021 Los Angeles Chargers Outlook
WR Mike Williams, LAC - Sleeper (undervalued)
Over the last three seasons, Williams flashed the talent to score impact touchdowns (10 in 2018) and make big plays (20.4 yards per catch in 2019). Unfortunately, the Chargers have struggled to get him consistent targets over this stretch. He has 140 catches for 2,421 yards and 17 touchdowns over his previous 46 games.
In 2020, Williams had three catches or fewer in seven matchups, with each leading to non-playable scores of (3.4, 2.7, 1.4, 5.8, 5.6, 0.0, and 4.2 fantasy points) in PPR leagues. His only three games of value came in Week 5 (5/109/2), Week 8 (5/99/1), and Week 17 (6/108/1).Fantasy Outlook: The change in coaching staff and the loss of Hunter Henry points to Williams setting a career-high in catches. I'll set his bar at 70 catches for 1,000 yards and a run at 10 scores. His ADP (132) looks favorable, and he plays with a young developing quarterback.
WR Jalen Guyton, LAC - Low Potential
In his second season with the Chargers, Guyton flashed in three games (1/72/1, 2/84/1, and 4/91). One-quarter of his 28 catches gained over 20 yards, and four of those catches reached the 40-yard mark. He had 12 games with two catches or fewer.
Over two seasons at North Texas, Guyton caught 103 of his 176 passes for 1,580 yards and 15 touchdowns.
Fantasy Outlook: Only a big-play threat with a minimal opportunity.
Other Options: KJ Hill, Jason Moore, Austin Proehl
WR Josh Palmer, LAC - Dynasty Only
Selected with the 77th pick in the third round of the 2021 NFL Draft, Palmer has excellent size (6-1, 210) and adequate speed (4.51). The Chargers have little depth after Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, so the door is wide open for Palmer to earn playing time right away in an offense that looks like a safe bet to finish as a top-10 unit. That gives Palmer enough late-round sleeper appeal to make him worth a look in larger leagues.
WR Tyron Johnson, --- - Deep-league Only
Over 12 games in his rookie season, Johnson had 20 catches for 398 yards and three touchdowns on 26 targets. He also hit on seven catches for over 20 yards while reaching 40 yards on four of those chances. His best value came in six matchups (1/53/1, 1/50, 1/54, 2/63, 6/55/1, and 3/61/1).
Over three seasons at Oklahoma State, Johnson had 80 catches for 1,288 yards and 12 touchdowns on 124 targets.
TE Jared Cook, LAC - Quality Backup
Los Angeles looked to their tight ends at the highest rate over the past three seasons. They set three-year highs in catches (81), receiving yards (928), touchdowns (8), and targets (129).
Cook scored 22 touchdowns over his last 45 games while gaining over 20 yards on 36 of his 148 catches. He fell short of expectations in his two seasons with the Saints (43/707/9 and 37/504/7) while receiving only 125 targets (4.3 per game).
Fantasy Outlook: Cook improved his scoring and big-play ability after the age of 30. He'll start the year at age 34, making him a tough player to fight for on draft day. His ADP (199) looks plausible when tying him to Justin Herbert. Possible 5/50/5 season, which works as based on his price point.
Other Option: Tre McKitty, Donald Parham, Stephen Anderson
PK Mike Badgley, IND - Bye Week Fill-in
Over his first two seasons in the NFL, Badgley missed 14 games. He played an entire year in 2020, but his leg regressed. Badgley missed nine of his 33 field goals while going 36-for-39 in extra-point tries. His success rate now has risk from 40 to 49 yards (73.1 percent) and 50 percent from 50 yards or more.Fantasy Outlook: The Chargers brought in kicking competition in the offseason. Badgley looks to be only a waiver-wire option until he secures a starting job.