2019 Los Angeles Chargers Team Outlook
Editor's note: This is the free preview of the Los Angeles Chargers team outlook. If you already are a premium subscriber to FullTime Fantasy, click here for our premium expanded Los Angeles Chargers Team Outlook. The expanded team outlook also includes sections covering the coaching staff, offensive line, schedule, free agency, 2019 draft picks, defense & more.)
Chargers Offense Outlook
Last season the Chargers ran the ball 43.8 percent of the time, which was helped by playing from the lead in many games. Los Angeles has the talent to pass the ball if game score dictates.
QB Philip Rivers, IND - Solid/Safe Pick
Update 12/29/19Rivers went down as a bust in Week 16 (279/0), but he did complete 69.2 percent of his passes with no Ints. After 15 games, he only has 21 TDs with 18 interceptions. His best play came in Week 1 (333/3) and Week 14 (314/3) while passing for over 300 yards in six other contests. Rivers struggled his first matchup vs. the Chiefs (353/1 with four Ints. Kansas City ranks 13th in QB defense (19.55 FPPG). They held QBs to fewer than 20.0 Fantasy points in five straight games. The Chiefs played poorly in three games defending QBs (350/3, 291/3, and 305/3). Kansas City allows 6.7 yards per pass attempt with 19 passing TDs. Looks dead on the mat, but the Chargers do have talent at the receiving positions.
RB Melvin Gordon, DEN - Stud (low risk)
Update 12/29/19After a poor showing vs. Vikings (64 combined yards with five catches on 12 touches), Gordon gained only 47 combined yards last week. He did score two TDs with six catches, helping him hold value. LA had him on the field for 61 percent of their snaps in Week 16. Over the previous seven games, he scored 125.7 Fantasy points in DraftKings scoring (17.96 FPPG) while averaging 18.4 touches per game. Gordon gained 637 combined yards with six TDs and 25 catches over this span. In Week 11, he finished with 90 yards vs. the Chiefs with three catches. Kansas City allows 5.0 yards per rush with RBs scoring 14 TDs. The Chargers will try to run a ball control offense, which favors the RB position. Only a flier.
RB Austin Ekeler, LAC - Fantasy Handcuff
Update 12/29/19Last week the Chargers only gave Ekeler nine touches, which led to 69 combined yards with five catches. He needs 17 catches to reach 100 for the year and 50 receiving yards to reach 1,000. Over his previous 11 games, Ekeler rushed for 291 yards on 67 carries (4.3 yards per rush) with his best success coming in Week 14 (8/101). His value in the Chargers’ offense is driven via the passing game (83/950/8). He’s scored a receiving TD in five of his previous nine games. RBs have 87 catches for 845 yards and five TDs on 123 targets against the Chiefs. In Week 11, Ekeler gained 132 combined yards with eight catches vs. Kansas City. May surprise.
RB Justin Jackson, LAC - Bye Week Fill-in
Jackson has NFL RB speed (4.52), but his lack of size (6'0' and 199 Lbs.) and strength hinder his upside. Justin doesn't run with power while gaining space with more shake than bake. He needs better vision and a quicker throttle to be effective at the next level. Jackson won't be an edge in the passing game with questions in his pass blocking skills. Over four seasons at Northwestern, Jackson gained 6,298 combined yards with 42 TDs and 122 catches in his 51 games played. He gained over 1,300 yards each year while improving in the passing game in his senior season (44/276). With Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler banged up over the second half of the season, Jackson drew one start (85 combined yards with one TD and three catches) with a bump in chances over three other games (174 combined yards with one TD and three catches on 25 touches). If Gordon misses any length of time, Justin may be the lead back on early downs. A short-term injury would probably favor Ekeler. A possible late-round handcuff for the Chargers' top two RBs.
WR Keenan Allen, LAC - Stud (low risk)
Update 12/29/19Allen posted another flat game in Week 16 (5/71 on ten targets). Over his previous six games, he has 41 catches for 460 yards and two TDs on 55 targets with one game with over 20.0 Fantasy points (8/71/1 vs. the Chiefs). Allen has fewer than 100 yards receiving in 12 straight games with only two TDs over this stretch. His best value come over the first three games (29/404/3) highlighted by an impact game in Week 3 (13/183/2). Allen needs five catches to reach 100 for the second time in his career and eight catches to set a career-high. He has over 1,100 yards receiving in each of his last three seasons. Kansas City is 2nd in the NFL defending WRs (25.74 – 143/1836/10 on 253 targets) after holding WRs to fewer than 160 yards receiving in 13 of the previous 14 games. Only one WR (D.J. Chark – 4/146/1) has over 100 yards receiving vs. the Chiefs). CB Kendall Fuller regressed this season after playing well in 2017 and 2018 while missing some games. He’ll allow a high catch rate with minimal damage in TDs. Allen is a volume type WR who has a below-par matchup in Week 17.
WR Mike Williams, LAC - Sleeper (undervalued)
Update 12/29/19Over the last seven games, Williams showed more value in yards in two contests (3/111 and 5/117) while adding two other productive weeks (2/63/1 and 4/71/1). He gained over 70 yards in six of his previous 11 games, but he caught four balls or fewer in eight of his last nine games. Williams needs 37 yards receiving to reach 1,000 for the year while ranking 40th in WR scoring (10.37 FPPG). In Week 11, he caught two passes for 76 yards on five targets against the Chiefs. CB Charvarius Ward holds WRs to a low catch rate with one TD allowed in 2019. Williams is a fade for me in Week 17.