2014 Team Outlook: Jacksonville Jaguars
QB Chad Henne, KC - Low Potential
Chad Henne is coming off one of his best seasons of his six-year career, unfortunately that isn't saying much. Henne passed for 3,241 yards with 13 touchdowns and 14 interceptions; he did this while starting in 13 games. Henne is nothing more than a placeholder until the team feels ready to hand the reins to Bortles. Henne shouldn't seriously be considered for your fantasy rosters, no matter what format you play. There are much better options out there.
QB Blake Bortles, --- - Deep-league Only
Blake Bortles was drafted as the No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 NFL Draft, making him the first QB off the board. Bortles is the quarterback of the future for Jacksonville, but the team has stated that they plan to bring him along slowly (while allowing veteran Chad Henne to start this season). Don't be surprised if Bortles is starting by the end of the season as they look to get him some game-action (something similar to when the NY Giants sat Eli Manning for the first seven games and let the veteran Kurt Warner start). Bortles' only value is in dynasty leagues, deep leagues and start 2QB leagues. Even if he does start at some point during the season, we shouldn't expect much out of him in his first year, as the Jags just don't have enough weapons that are ready to contribute. The future of suspended receiver Justin Blackmon and the development of rookie WRs Allen Robinson and Marqise Lee will help dictate how soon Bortles can be effective. Bortles is being drafted on average as the third QB in Dynasty rookie drafts at the end of the 2nd round.
RB Toby Gerhart, --- - Sleeper (undervalued)
BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR: Toby Gerhart signed a three-year contract worth $10.5 million and was anointed the starter. The Jags have been saying he will get anywhere from 15 to 20 touches per game and be an every-down back. Despite that, I wouldn't expect too much from Gerhart as the Jacksonville offense is pitiful and not much improved over last season when they were the second-worst rushing team in the NFL (rushed for only 1,260 yards). While Gerhart might help improve this, don't expect a major transformation. The former Stanford back is an adequate option, but would be best served putting up weak stats for another fantasy team. Gerhart is being drafted as RB24, but we prefer other players that are being drafted later -- namely Rashad Jennings, Pierre Thomas and Joique Bell.
RB Storm Johnson, --- - Dynasty Only
Storm Johnson was selected in the seventh round of the 2014 NFL Draft. He will focus primarily on special teams (if he makes the team). He has some decent skill, so if he does make the team and shows any flashes in training camp, he might be worth a look in a deep keeper or dynasty league. Outside of that, you can move on.
RB Denard Robinson, --- - Deep-league Only
Just like the rest of the Jacksonville running backs, Denard Robinson is another name not worth much consideration. The former Michigan Wolverines QB is still trying to get used to converting to running back. In his rookie year (even though the Jags lacked quality playmakers), he was only able to get 20 carries for a paltry 66 yards all while being active for all 16 games. Robinson will try and battle Jordan Todman for the backup running back spot, but don't count on it. Robinson is nothing more than a dynasty stash right now, but he may contribute here and there unexpectedly, giving him some very late round draft master value.
RB Jordan Todman, --- - Deep-league Only
The Jaguars re-signed Jordan Todman and he will go into training camp as the tentative No. 2 running back behind Toby Gerhart. He will also battle with Denard Robinson for playing time (it is almost laughable calling this a battle). Todman is another Jacksonville player with very little value. He appeared in all 16 games last season (even making two starts), but he still only gained 256 yards and 76 carries. Worth a small consideration as a handcuff to Gerhart, Todman earns more value in PPR (point per reception) leagues, but more likely you should stay away from the Jags' running game.