Week 17: Sit 'Em
Many fantasy playoffs are over, but for those of you still going, you must consider your options carefully. We might see some fantasy studs rested this week and this may not be exactly what you were hoping for. Other players may have tough match-ups. Analyze your roster and make the best adjustments to secure your win. This week I think you should sit:
Matt Moore faces a tough New York defense this week. Moore has been working to get his team competitive and has done so for the most part as the season progressed. Moore might be an option with players like Rodgers sitting out this week for rest if his match-up was not with New York. I think Moore will struggle to get the ball to his well-covered receivers. I foresee less than 200 yards passing with one TD and one INT.
It is highly likely we will see little of Aaron Rodgers in this season finale with Detroit. After his stellar performance with 5 TDs vs. Chicago last week (and Green Bay being playoff bound), Rodgers will probably be a starter, but leave the game quite early. This type of move by coaches late in the season kills fantasy owners, but you have to understand their reasoning. This week I expect to see a quarter or a bit more from Rodgers. This means he will have the opportunity to throw about 15 passes. One of these should find a receiver in the end zone, but all in all, Rodgers is safer on your bench just in case he plays less.
Gerhart is now in the starting role for Minnesota with Peterson out for the season. Better late than never I suppose. Anyways, Gerhart has shown some sparks this season filling in for AP, but I am not sure he can be a consistent running threat. Gerhart does have some value in the passing game too, so he is worth a look. However, with the way Green Bay exploited Chicago in the passing game, I see Minnesota trying to do the same. Gerhart will get his touches and probably get 15-18 attempts for 50-60 yards. I do not think he will score, though he might add a few receptions for 15-20 yards.
Shonn Greene was one of those fantasy running backs that killed me this season. He ate up a roster spot and was never performing well when I needed him. Miami allows the fifth fewest points to fantasy running backs and Greene has not produced against tough opponents. Greene gained 74 yards on 21 attempts when he met Miami in Week 6. Miami is playing better than they were in Week 6, so I suspect that Greene will suffer a low scoring fantasy game. Greene will get 12-15 attempts and gain 40-50 yards and not score.
Chris Johnson has been a disappointment this fantasy season. Yes, this is probably an understatement, but it appeared that he could have some value late this fantasy season. Now Johnson has a nagging ankle injury and is facing a Houston defense that stymied him last outing. In Week 7 he gained a pitiful 18 yards on ten carries and 27 yards over 6 receptions. I say keep Johnson on your bench this week. He might be good for 40-50 yards with no score at best.